Security National Financial Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 12.09 14.06 16.03 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 12.03 14.00 15.96 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 8.57 11.05 13.52 Details

Security National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Security National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Security National Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.69	1.97	0.01	0.15	6 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	In about 6 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
13.06	13.07	0.08	9,850   Notes

Security National Hype Timeline

Security National is at this time traded for 13.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Security is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.69%. The volatility of related hype on Security National is about 890.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.21. The company reported the revenue of 318.5 M. Net Income was 14.5 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 228.54 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Security National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Security National Related Hype Analysis

Security National Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Security price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Security using various technical indicators. When you analyze Security charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Security National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Security National Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Security National based on analysis of Security National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Security National depends on current market conditions and Security National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Security National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Security National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Security National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Security National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Security National Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Security National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Security National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Security National's price analysis, check to measure Security National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Security National is operating at the current time. Most of Security National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Security National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Security National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Security National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.