Global Business Travel Stock Price Prediction
| GBTG Stock | USD 7.68 0.15 1.92% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.09) | Wall Street Target Price 8.62 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.056 |
Using Global Business hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Business Travel from the perspective of Global Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Global Business Travel Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Global Business' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Business Travel. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Business' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Business.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Business to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Global Business after-hype prediction price | USD 7.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Global |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Business After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Business at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Business or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Business, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Business' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Business' historical news coverage. Global Business' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.86 and 9.54, respectively. We have considered Global Business' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Business is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Business Travel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Business Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Business is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Business backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Business, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.84 | 0.02 | 0.63 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.68 | 7.70 | 0.26 |
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Global Business Hype Timeline
Global Business Travel is currently traded for 7.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.63. Global is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Global Business is about 72.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.05. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.02 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Global Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Global Business Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Business' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Business' future price movements. Getting to know how Global Business' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Business may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZM | Zoom Video Communications | 1.89 | 10 per month | 1.34 | 0.15 | 2.42 | (2.13) | 16.91 | |
| AI | C3 Ai Inc | 0.82 | 5 per month | 2.83 | (0.01) | 4.56 | (5.04) | 14.41 | |
| SHOP | Shopify | 0.99 | 8 per month | 1.57 | 0.17 | 4.91 | (2.68) | 22.26 | |
| WDAY | Workday | (4.88) | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.06 | 2.76 | (1.91) | 15.33 | |
| SNOW | Snowflake | 0.27 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.44 | (3.50) | 20.34 | |
| ADSK | Autodesk | (2.78) | 11 per month | 0.81 | 0.21 | 2.14 | (1.57) | 6.68 | |
| NOW | ServiceNow | (14.01) | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.13 | 3.04 | (2.17) | 7.34 |
Global Business Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Global Business Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Global Business stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Business Travel, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Business based on analysis of Global Business hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Business's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Business's related companies. | 2020 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001495 | 0.00172 | 0.001634 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.34 | 0.71 | 0.47 |
Story Coverage note for Global Business
The number of cover stories for Global Business depends on current market conditions and Global Business' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Business is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Business' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Business Short Properties
Global Business' future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Business' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Business Travel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 458.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 476 M |
Complementary Tools for Global Stock analysis
When running Global Business' price analysis, check to measure Global Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Business is operating at the current time. Most of Global Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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