Global Blue Group Stock Price Prediction
| GB Stock | USD 5.64 0.11 1.91% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.766 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.41 | Wall Street Target Price 6.05 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.08 |
Using Global Blue hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Blue Group from the perspective of Global Blue response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Blue to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Global Blue after-hype prediction price | USD 5.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Global |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Blue's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Blue After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Blue at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Blue or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Blue, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Blue Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Blue's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Blue's historical news coverage. Global Blue's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.07 and 9.35, respectively. We have considered Global Blue's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Blue is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Blue Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Blue Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Blue is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Blue backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Blue, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.64 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.64 | 5.71 | 1.24 |
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Global Blue Hype Timeline
As of November 2, 2024 Global Blue Group is listed for 5.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Global is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Global Blue is about 1534.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.55. The company generated the yearly revenue of 422.3 M. Reported Net Income was 47.53 M with gross profit of 14.14 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Global Blue Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Global Blue Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Blue's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Blue's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Blue's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Blue may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTCT | NetScout Systems | (0.45) | 9 per month | 2.03 | 0.01 | 3.23 | (3.20) | 7.96 | |
| PRTH | Priority Technology Holdings | (0.47) | 10 per month | 4.52 | 0.02 | 6.79 | (5.67) | 20.29 | |
| OSPN | OneSpan | 0.05 | 11 per month | 2.13 | 0.05 | 4.45 | (3.60) | 12.17 | |
| STER | Sterling Check Corp | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.93 | 0.04 | 1.77 | (1.22) | 7.04 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | 0.11 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.08 | (2.78) | 7.72 | |
| RPAY | Repay Holdings Corp | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.51 | (3.96) | 14.88 | |
| CSGS | CSG Systems International | (0.82) | 7 per month | 1.33 | (0.01) | 1.96 | (2.02) | 11.06 |
Global Blue Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Global Blue Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Global Blue stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Blue Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Blue based on analysis of Global Blue hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Blue's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Blue's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | ROE | 0.49 | 0.23 | 0.2 | Income Quality | 0.8 | 0.0482 | 2.53 |
Story Coverage note for Global Blue
The number of cover stories for Global Blue depends on current market conditions and Global Blue's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Blue is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Blue's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Blue Short Properties
Global Blue's future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Blue's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Blue Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Blue's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Blue's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 194.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 87.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Global Stock analysis
When running Global Blue's price analysis, check to measure Global Blue's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Blue is operating at the current time. Most of Global Blue's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Blue's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Blue's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Blue to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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