Phoenix New Media Stock Price Prediction
| FENG Stock | USD 2.69 0.16 6.32% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Phoenix New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Phoenix New Media from the perspective of Phoenix New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Phoenix New to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Phoenix because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Phoenix New after-hype prediction price | USD 2.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Phoenix |
Phoenix New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Phoenix New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Phoenix New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Phoenix New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Phoenix New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Phoenix New's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Phoenix New's historical news coverage. Phoenix New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 7.51, respectively. We have considered Phoenix New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Phoenix New is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Phoenix New Media is based on 3 months time horizon.
Phoenix New Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Phoenix New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Phoenix New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Phoenix New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 5.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.69 | 2.52 | 0.40 |
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Phoenix New Hype Timeline
Phoenix New Media is currently traded for 2.69. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Phoenix is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Phoenix New is about 150600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.69. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Phoenix New Media recorded a loss per share of 0.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2020. The firm had 1:6 split on the 23rd of May 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Phoenix New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Phoenix New Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Phoenix New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Phoenix New's future price movements. Getting to know how Phoenix New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Phoenix New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Phoenix New Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Phoenix price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Phoenix using various technical indicators. When you analyze Phoenix charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Phoenix New Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Phoenix New stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Phoenix New Media, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Phoenix New based on analysis of Phoenix New hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Phoenix New's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Phoenix New's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Phoenix New
The number of cover stories for Phoenix New depends on current market conditions and Phoenix New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Phoenix New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Phoenix New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Phoenix New Short Properties
Phoenix New's future price predictability will typically decrease when Phoenix New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Phoenix New Media often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Phoenix New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phoenix New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Phoenix Stock analysis
When running Phoenix New's price analysis, check to measure Phoenix New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phoenix New is operating at the current time. Most of Phoenix New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phoenix New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phoenix New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phoenix New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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