Dave Inc Stock Price Prediction
| DAVE Stock | USD 218.10 14.08 6.90% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.36 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.65 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.0917 | Wall Street Target Price 221 |
Using Dave hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dave Inc from the perspective of Dave response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dave using Dave's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dave using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dave's stock price.
Dave Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Dave's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Dave. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Dave stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 113.9218 | Short Percent 0.077 | Short Ratio 1.88 | Shares Short Prior Month 857 K | 50 Day MA 212.9739 |
Dave Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dave's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dave. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dave can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dave Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dave's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dave.
Dave Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Dave's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dave Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dave's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dave stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dave's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dave to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dave because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dave after-hype prediction price | USD 181.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dave contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dave Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With Dave trading at USD 218.1, that is roughly USD 0.13 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dave's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dave Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Dave Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dave's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dave After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dave at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dave or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dave, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dave Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dave's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dave's historical news coverage. Dave's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 174.17 and 239.91, respectively. We have considered Dave's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dave is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dave Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dave Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dave is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dave backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dave, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.75 | 6.97 | 36.96 | 0.53 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
218.10 | 181.14 | 16.95 |
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Dave Hype Timeline
Dave Inc is currently traded for 218.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -36.96, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.53. Dave is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 181.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 33.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -16.95%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.75%. The volatility of related hype on Dave is about 2294.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 218.63. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.37. Dave Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:32 split on the 6th of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Dave Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dave Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dave's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dave's future price movements. Getting to know how Dave's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dave may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DAVEW | Dave Warrants | 0.10 | 6 per month | 6.92 | 0.26 | 20.31 | (13.45) | 89.65 | |
| EXFY | Expensify | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.02 | (5.18) | 30.35 | |
| GRND | Grindr Inc | 0.01 | 8 per month | 2.21 | (0.02) | 3.37 | (3.74) | 9.94 | |
| NATH | Nathans Famous | 2.00 | 11 per month | 2.10 | (0.03) | 3.52 | (2.87) | 14.36 | |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp | (0.19) | 6 per month | 2.65 | 0.01 | 5.58 | (3.83) | 38.55 | |
| GTIM | Good Times Restaurants | (0.12) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.80 | (5.18) | 14.72 | |
| SOPA | Society Pass | 0.15 | 6 per month | 3.65 | 0.15 | 10.43 | (6.47) | 54.75 | |
| FRGE | Forge Global Holdings | 0.52 | 9 per month | 5.72 | 0.1 | 11.01 | (7.19) | 55.54 |
Dave Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dave price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dave using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dave charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dave Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dave stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dave Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dave based on analysis of Dave hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dave's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dave's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 2.79 | 4.49 | 4.87 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 9.51 | 10.93 | 10.39 |
Story Coverage note for Dave
The number of cover stories for Dave depends on current market conditions and Dave's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dave is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dave's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dave Short Properties
Dave's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dave's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dave Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dave's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dave's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Dave Stock analysis
When running Dave's price analysis, check to measure Dave's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dave is operating at the current time. Most of Dave's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dave's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dave's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dave to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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