Crown Crafts Stock Price Prediction
| CRWS Stock | USD 4.41 0.06 1.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.224 | Wall Street Target Price 7.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
Using Crown Crafts hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crown Crafts from the perspective of Crown Crafts response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crown Crafts using Crown Crafts' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crown using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crown Crafts' stock price.
Crown Crafts Implied Volatility | 3.63 |
Crown Crafts' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crown Crafts stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crown Crafts' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crown Crafts stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crown Crafts' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Crown Crafts to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Crown because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Crown Crafts after-hype prediction price | USD 4.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Crown |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crown Crafts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crown Crafts After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crown Crafts at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crown Crafts or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crown Crafts, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Crown Crafts Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crown Crafts' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crown Crafts' historical news coverage. Crown Crafts' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.46 and 5.36, respectively. We have considered Crown Crafts' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Crown Crafts is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crown Crafts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Crown Crafts Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crown Crafts is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crown Crafts backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crown Crafts, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.41 | 4.41 | 0.00 |
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Crown Crafts Hype Timeline
Crown Crafts is currently traded for 4.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Crown is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Crown Crafts is about 773.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.42. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Crown Crafts has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.19. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of January 1990. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Crown Crafts Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Crown Crafts Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crown Crafts' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crown Crafts' future price movements. Getting to know how Crown Crafts' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crown Crafts may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BSET | Bassett Furniture Industries | 0.37 | 7 per month | 1.41 | 0.06 | 3.20 | (2.57) | 9.55 | |
| ETD | Ethan Allen Interiors | 0.01 | 7 per month | 2.20 | (0.07) | 3.48 | (3.97) | 10.65 | |
| NTZ | Natuzzi SpA | 0.21 | 6 per month | 3.78 | (0.04) | 6.52 | (5.44) | 30.87 | |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries | (0.54) | 10 per month | 1.51 | 0.16 | 6.87 | (3.40) | 32.74 | |
| LZB | La Z Boy Incorporated | 1.69 | 10 per month | 1.87 | (0.03) | 3.40 | (2.61) | 9.51 | |
| AMWD | American Woodmark | (0.61) | 8 per month | 2.74 | 0.03 | 3.81 | (3.80) | 15.43 | |
| MBC | MasterBrand | (0.27) | 8 per month | 2.02 | 0.03 | 4.01 | (3.18) | 10.47 |
Crown Crafts Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Crown Crafts Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Crown Crafts stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Crown Crafts, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crown Crafts based on analysis of Crown Crafts hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Crown Crafts's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Crown Crafts's related companies. | 2012 | 2018 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0547 | 0.0564 | 0.0348 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.84 | 0.77 | 0.45 |
Story Coverage note for Crown Crafts
The number of cover stories for Crown Crafts depends on current market conditions and Crown Crafts' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crown Crafts is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crown Crafts' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Crown Crafts Short Properties
Crown Crafts' future price predictability will typically decrease when Crown Crafts' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crown Crafts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crown Crafts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Crafts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 829 K |
Additional Tools for Crown Stock Analysis
When running Crown Crafts' price analysis, check to measure Crown Crafts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crown Crafts is operating at the current time. Most of Crown Crafts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crown Crafts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crown Crafts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crown Crafts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.