Chesapeake Energy Price Prediction
| CHKELDelisted Stock | USD 62.50 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Chesapeake Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chesapeake Energy from the perspective of Chesapeake Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chesapeake Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chesapeake because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chesapeake Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 62.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chesapeake |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chesapeake Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chesapeake Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chesapeake Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chesapeake Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chesapeake Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chesapeake Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chesapeake Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chesapeake Energy's historical news coverage. Chesapeake Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.32 and 66.68, respectively. We have considered Chesapeake Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chesapeake Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chesapeake Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chesapeake Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chesapeake Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chesapeake Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chesapeake Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.53 | 4.18 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
62.50 | 62.50 | 0.00 |
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Chesapeake Energy Hype Timeline
Chesapeake Energy is currently traded for 62.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.14. Chesapeake is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chesapeake Energy is about 4446.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.36. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.Chesapeake Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chesapeake Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chesapeake Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Chesapeake Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chesapeake Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHKEZ | Chesapeake Energy | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.32 | (1.49) | 17.07 | |
| CHKEW | Chesapeake Energy | (0.02) | 3 per month | 2.76 | 0.05 | 6.07 | (6.34) | 16.40 | |
| NGL-PC | NGL Energy Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | 0.05 | 1.08 | (0.86) | 3.93 | |
| GLP-PB | Global Partners LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.51 | (0.23) | 1.38 | |
| CRGY | Crescent Energy Co | (0.45) | 9 per month | 2.37 | 0.11 | 3.79 | (4.23) | 17.80 |
Chesapeake Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chesapeake price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chesapeake using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chesapeake charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chesapeake Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chesapeake Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chesapeake Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chesapeake Energy based on analysis of Chesapeake Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chesapeake Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chesapeake Energy's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Chesapeake Energy
The number of cover stories for Chesapeake Energy depends on current market conditions and Chesapeake Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chesapeake Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chesapeake Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chesapeake Energy Short Properties
Chesapeake Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chesapeake Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chesapeake Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chesapeake Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chesapeake Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Chesapeake Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Chesapeake Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Chesapeake Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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