African Discovery Group Stock Price Prediction
| AFDG Stock | USD 0 0 50.00% |
Momentum 23
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using African Discovery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of African Discovery Group from the perspective of African Discovery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in African Discovery to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying African because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
African Discovery after-hype prediction price | USD 0.003102 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
African |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of African Discovery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
African Discovery After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of African Discovery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in African Discovery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of African Discovery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
African Discovery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting African Discovery's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on African Discovery's historical news coverage. African Discovery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 9.61, respectively. We have considered African Discovery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
African Discovery is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of African Discovery is based on 3 months time horizon.
African Discovery Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as African Discovery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading African Discovery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with African Discovery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.38 | 9.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0 | 0 | 3.39 |
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African Discovery Hype Timeline
African Discovery is presently traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. African is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.003102 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 3.39%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.38%. The volatility of related hype on African Discovery is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. African Discovery Group currently holds 4.13 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.66, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out African Discovery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.African Discovery Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to African Discovery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict African Discovery's future price movements. Getting to know how African Discovery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how African Discovery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCVVF | BOC Aviation Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.87 | 0.00 | 10.50 | |
| ALTG-PA | Alta Equipment Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | (0.03) | 2.10 | (1.81) | 10.77 | |
| BDIMF | Black Diamond Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.22 | 6.30 | (0.91) | 11.48 | |
| ASHTF | Ashtead Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | 0.05 | 5.34 | (3.33) | 13.04 | |
| ADMT | Adm Tronics Unltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ABCP | Ambase Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.48 | 0.02 | 7.14 | (6.25) | 16.59 | |
| AESO | Atlantic Energy Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.79 | 0.09 | 33.78 | (23.75) | 93.46 | |
| ADMQ | ADM Endeavors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.85 | 0.03 | 17.00 | (11.00) | 44.13 | |
| AAPJ | AAP Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 |
African Discovery Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine African price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for African using various technical indicators. When you analyze African charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About African Discovery Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of African Discovery stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as African Discovery Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of African Discovery based on analysis of African Discovery hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to African Discovery's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to African Discovery's related companies.
Story Coverage note for African Discovery
The number of cover stories for African Discovery depends on current market conditions and African Discovery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that African Discovery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about African Discovery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for African Pink Sheet analysis
When running African Discovery's price analysis, check to measure African Discovery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy African Discovery is operating at the current time. Most of African Discovery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of African Discovery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move African Discovery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of African Discovery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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