Tag Oil Stock Performance

TAOIF Stock  USD 0.08  0.01  10.00%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, TAG Oil holds a performance score of 3. The firm has a beta of 0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, TAG Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TAG Oil is expected to be smaller as well. Please check TAG Oil's total risk alpha, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether TAG Oil's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in TAG Oil are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile forward indicators, TAG Oil reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow15.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities1.3 M
  

TAG Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  8.00  in TAG Oil on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.10  from holding TAG Oil or generate 1.25% return on investment over 90 days. TAG Oil is currently producing 0.3938% returns and takes up 8.6635% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 77% of traded otc stocks are less volatile than TAG, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon TAG Oil is expected to generate 11.53 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 11.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

TAG Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of TAG OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.08 90 days 0.08 
about 9.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TAG Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.81 (This TAG Oil probability density function shows the probability of TAG OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TAG Oil has a beta of 0.11. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TAG Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TAG Oil will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TAG Oil has an alpha of 0.9607, implying that it can generate a 0.96 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TAG Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TAG Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TAG Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.088.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.068.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.108.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.070.09
Details

TAG Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TAG Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TAG Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TAG Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TAG Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.96
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

TAG Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TAG Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TAG Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TAG Oil had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
TAG Oil has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (3.08 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (98 K).
TAG Oil has accumulated about 13.07 M in cash with (4.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

TAG Oil Fundamentals Growth

TAG OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of TAG Oil, and TAG Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on TAG OTC Stock performance.

About TAG Oil Performance

By analyzing TAG Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into TAG Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if TAG Oil has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if TAG Oil has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
TAG Oil Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in Canada, the Middle East, and North Africa. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. Tag Oil operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 8 people.

Things to note about TAG Oil performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about TAG Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for TAG Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TAG Oil had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
TAG Oil has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (3.08 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (98 K).
TAG Oil has accumulated about 13.07 M in cash with (4.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating TAG Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate TAG Oil's otc stock performance include:
  • Analyzing TAG Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether TAG Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining TAG Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating TAG Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of TAG Oil's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of TAG Oil's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into TAG Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating TAG Oil's otc stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact TAG Oil's otc stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for TAG OTC Stock analysis

When running TAG Oil's price analysis, check to measure TAG Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TAG Oil is operating at the current time. Most of TAG Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TAG Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TAG Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TAG Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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