Deutsche Gold Precious Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SGDIX Fund  USD 55.12  1.35  2.39%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.13, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Deutsche Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Deutsche Gold is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Deutsche Gold Precious has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Deutsche Gold is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date28th of April 2023
Expense Ratio1.2000
  

Deutsche Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,760  in Deutsche Gold Precious on September 15, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (248.00) from holding Deutsche Gold Precious or give up 4.31% of portfolio value over 90 days. Deutsche Gold Precious is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.6962% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 15% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Deutsche, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Gold is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Deutsche Gold Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
55.12
Please note that Deutsche Gold's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Deutsche Gold Precious shows a prevailing Real Value of $51.33 per share. The current price of the fund is $55.12. We determine the value of Deutsche Gold Precious from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Since Deutsche Gold is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Deutsche Mutual Fund. However, Deutsche Gold's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  55.12 Real  51.33 Hype  55.12 Naive  54.65
The intrinsic value of Deutsche Gold's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Deutsche Gold's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
51.33
Real Value
60.63
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Deutsche Gold Precious helps investors to forecast how Deutsche mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Deutsche Gold more accurately as focusing exclusively on Deutsche Gold's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.9756.2759.56
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
53.4255.1256.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
52.9654.6556.35
Details

Deutsche Gold Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deutsche Gold's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Deutsche Gold Precious, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Deutsche Gold's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0322

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Negative ReturnsSGDIX

Estimated Market Risk

 1.7
  actual daily
15
85% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.05
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.03
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Deutsche Gold is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Deutsche Gold by adding Deutsche Gold to a well-diversified portfolio.

Deutsche Gold Fundamentals Growth

Deutsche Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Deutsche Gold, and Deutsche Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Deutsche Mutual Fund performance.

About Deutsche Gold Performance

Evaluating Deutsche Gold's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Deutsche Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Deutsche Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in securities of companies located throughout the world, in both developed and emerging markets, that are primarily engaged in mining or processing gold . It may also invest in gold bullion and other precious metals, i.e., silver and platinum . However, no more than 20 percent of the funds total assets may be invested directly in gold bullion and other precious metals. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Deutsche Gold Precious performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Gold Precious help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Deutsche Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated-2.0 ten year return of -2.0%
Deutsche Gold Precious maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments
Evaluating Deutsche Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Deutsche Gold's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Deutsche Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Deutsche Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Deutsche Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Deutsche Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Deutsche Gold's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Deutsche Gold's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Deutsche Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Deutsche Gold's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Deutsche Gold's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Gold security.
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