Sera Prognostics Stock Performance
| SERA Stock | USD 2.92 0.08 2.67% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Sera Prognostics holds a performance score of 2. The entity has a beta of 2.43, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Sera Prognostics will likely underperform. Please check Sera Prognostics' expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Sera Prognostics' existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Sera Prognostics are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Sera Prognostics sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.67) | Five Day Return 6.18 | Year To Date Return (64.95) | Ten Year Return (75.46) | All Time Return (75.46) |
1 | Sera Prognostics, Inc. Reports Q1 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates | 05/07/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 5022 shares by John Boniface of Sera Prognostics at 7.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 05/09/2025 |
3 | Sera Prognostics, Inc. Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 05/13/2025 |
4 | SERA PROGNOSTICS TO PRESENT AT RBC GLOBAL HEALTHCARE CONFERENCE | 05/14/2025 |
5 | SERA PROGNOSTICS TO PARTICIPATE IN UPCOMING INVESTOR CONFERENCES | 05/29/2025 |
6 | Acquisition by John Boniface of 3703 shares of Sera Prognostics at 1.33 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 05/30/2025 |
7 | Disposition of 107 shares by Mirza Mansoor Raza of Sera Prognostics at 1.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 06/06/2025 |
8 | Disposition of 23042 shares by Lindgardt Zhenya of Sera Prognostics at 1.43 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 06/09/2025 |
9 | Disposition of 3344 shares by Lindgardt Zhenya of Sera Prognostics at 1.48 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 06/10/2025 |
10 | Acquisition by Anderson Dyaarl Lee Jr. of 67114 shares of Sera Prognostics subject to Rule 16b-3 | 06/23/2025 |
11 | Disposition of 234 shares by Mirza Mansoor Raza of Sera Prognostics at 2.36 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 07/07/2025 |
12 | Disposition of 5915 shares by Jackson Benjamin of Sera Prognostics at 4.58 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 07/11/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 11.7 M |
Sera Prognostics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 339.00 in Sera Prognostics on April 20, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (47.00) from holding Sera Prognostics or give up 13.86% of portfolio value over 90 days. Sera Prognostics is currently generating 0.5878% in daily expected returns and assumes 15.455% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Sera, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Sera Prognostics Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sera Prognostics' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Sera Prognostics, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Sera Prognostics' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.038
| Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
| Good Returns | ||||
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| Small Returns | SERA | |||
| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns |
Estimated Market Risk
| 15.46 actual daily | 96 96% of assets are less volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.59 actual daily | 11 89% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.04 actual daily | 2 98% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Sera Prognostics is performing at about 2% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Sera Prognostics by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Sera Prognostics Fundamentals Growth
Sera Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Sera Prognostics, and Sera Prognostics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Sera Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.41 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.22 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (243.42) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 56.09 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 36.7 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.07 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 982.77 X | ||||
| Revenue | 77 K | ||||
| Gross Profit | 10 K | ||||
| EBITDA | (32.04 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (32.9 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 106.91 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.45 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 840 K | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 14.80 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.52 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (14.19 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.94) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 113.02 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 72.58 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (279.79 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 22.83 M | ||||
About Sera Prognostics Performance
By analyzing Sera Prognostics' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Sera Prognostics' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Sera Prognostics has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Sera Prognostics has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.46) | (0.48) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.77) | (0.80) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.45) | (0.48) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.69) | (0.65) |
Things to note about Sera Prognostics performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sera Prognostics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Sera Prognostics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sera Prognostics is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sera Prognostics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 77 K. Net Loss for the year was (32.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10 K. | |
| Sera Prognostics currently holds about 106.91 M in cash with (14.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.45, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing Sera Prognostics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Sera Prognostics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Sera Prognostics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Sera Prognostics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Sera Prognostics' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Sera Prognostics' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Sera Prognostics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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When running Sera Prognostics' price analysis, check to measure Sera Prognostics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sera Prognostics is operating at the current time. Most of Sera Prognostics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sera Prognostics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sera Prognostics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sera Prognostics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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