Natural Grocers By Stock Performance

NGVC Stock  USD 46.57  0.41  0.87%   
Natural Grocers holds a performance score of 18 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.03, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Natural Grocers will likely underperform. Use Natural Grocers by expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to analyze future returns on Natural Grocers by.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Natural Grocers by are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather inconsistent basic indicators, Natural Grocers exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.84)
Five Day Return
29.93
Year To Date Return
176.47
Ten Year Return
100.96
All Time Return
152.94
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0116
Payout Ratio
1.292
Forward Dividend Rate
0.4
Dividend Date
2024-09-18
Ex Dividend Date
2024-09-03
 
Natural Grocers dividend paid on 18th of September 2024
09/18/2024
1
Disposition of 1023 shares by Linnane Robert of Natural Grocers at 27.93 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/30/2024
2
Disposition of 3520 shares by Todd Dissinger of Natural Grocers subject to Rule 16b-3
10/01/2024
3
Natural Grocers Invites Reno, NV Community to Grand Reopening at New Location on October 24, 2024
10/10/2024
4
Disposition of 100 shares by Isely Raquel M. of Natural Grocers subject to Rule 16b-3
10/15/2024
5
Natural Grocers Celebrates Nevada Day with a Freebie and 5 Off, October 25-27, 2024
10/17/2024
6
Disposition of 5535 shares by Edward Cerkovnik of Natural Grocers subject to Rule 16b-3
10/25/2024
7
Acquisition by Isely Charity of 2000 shares of Natural Grocers subject to Rule 16b-3
10/30/2024
8
Natural Grocers names Richard Hall as CFO
11/01/2024
9
Disposition of 2500 shares by Richard Halle of Natural Grocers at 27.34 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/04/2024
10
Natural Grocers Promotes From the Soil Up Within Meet Your Farmer Film Series
11/07/2024
11
Join Natural Grocers, Colorado Springs Toyota Dealers and iHeart Radio for a Holiday Food Drive to Support the Care and Share Food Bank for Southern Colorado
11/11/2024
12
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage GAAP EPS of 0.39, revenue of 322.7M
11/21/2024
13
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Sales ...
11/22/2024
14
Discovering November 2024s Undiscovered Gems in the United States
11/25/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow18.3 M
Other Cashflows From Financing Activities-12.8 M
Price Earnings Ratio25.9552
Free Cash Flow73.8 M
  

Natural Grocers Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,571  in Natural Grocers by on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,127  from holding Natural Grocers by or generate 82.73% return on investment over 90 days. Natural Grocers by is currently generating 1.0294% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.2813% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 38% of stocks are less volatile than Natural, and 80% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Natural Grocers is expected to generate 5.53 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 per unit of risk.

Natural Grocers Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Grocers' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Natural Grocers by, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Natural Grocers' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.2404

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Estimated Market Risk

 4.28
  actual daily
38
62% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 1.03
  actual daily
20
80% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.24
  actual daily
18
82% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Natural Grocers is performing at about 18% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Natural Grocers by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Natural Grocers Fundamentals Growth

Natural Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Natural Grocers, and Natural Grocers fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Natural Stock performance.

About Natural Grocers Performance

By analyzing Natural Grocers' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Natural Grocers' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Natural Grocers has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Natural Grocers has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.05 
Days Of Inventory On Hand 61.53  61.52 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.16  0.15 

Things to note about Natural Grocers by performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Natural Grocers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Natural Grocers by help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natural Grocers by appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Natural Grocers by has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Discovering November 2024s Undiscovered Gems in the United States
Evaluating Natural Grocers' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Natural Grocers' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Natural Grocers' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Natural Grocers' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Natural Grocers' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Natural Grocers' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Natural Grocers' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Natural Grocers' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Natural Grocers' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Natural Grocers' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Natural Grocers' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Natural Grocers' price analysis, check to measure Natural Grocers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Grocers is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Grocers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Grocers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Grocers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Grocers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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