Natural Grocers By Stock Performance
| NGVC Stock | USD 39.43 0.46 1.15% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0092, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Natural Grocers' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Natural Grocers is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Natural Grocers by has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to verify Natural Grocers' kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if Natural Grocers by performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Very Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Natural Grocers by has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.15) | Five Day Return 0.82 | Year To Date Return (4.46) | Ten Year Return 69.45 | All Time Return 120.77 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0122 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.48 | Dividend Date 2025-06-11 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-05-27 |
1 | Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage declares 0.12 dividend | 05/08/2025 |
2 | Natural Grocers Celebrates National Idaho Day with Special Gift | 05/15/2025 |
3 | Natural Grocers Celebrates National Oklahoma Day with Special G | 06/04/2025 |
| Natural Grocers dividend paid on 11th of June 2025 | 06/11/2025 |
5 | Natural Grocers Announces New Store in Ruidoso, N.M. with Commu | 06/17/2025 |
6 | US Markets 3 Undiscovered Gems for Savvy Investors | 06/23/2025 |
7 | Natural Grocers Invites Mission, Kansas, Customers to Celebrate Stores 10th Anniversary June 27-29, 2025 | 06/24/2025 |
8 | Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage versus Dominos Pizza UK Head-To-Head Comparison | 07/01/2025 |
9 | Make a Splash with Summer Savings at Natural Grocers, July 10-12, 2025 | 07/07/2025 |
10 | Natural Grocers Expands Private-Label Brand with Organic Wellne | 07/15/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 18.3 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -38.6 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 35.1 M |
Natural Grocers Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,629 in Natural Grocers by on April 20, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (686.00) from holding Natural Grocers by or give up 14.82% of portfolio value over 90 days. Natural Grocers by is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.0001% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 44% of stocks are less volatile than Natural, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Natural Grocers Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Grocers' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Natural Grocers by, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Natural Grocers' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0292
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| Negative Returns | NGVC |
Estimated Market Risk
| 5.0 actual daily | 44 56% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.15 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.03 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Natural Grocers is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Natural Grocers by adding Natural Grocers to a well-diversified portfolio.
Natural Grocers Fundamentals Growth
Natural Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Natural Grocers, and Natural Grocers fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Natural Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.23 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0546 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.24 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 22.95 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.25 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.78 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.70 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.24 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 437.17 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 77.91 M | ||||
| Net Income | 33.94 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 12.04 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.53 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 346.51 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.52 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.02 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.41 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 73.76 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.76 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 904.93 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 655.48 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 113.9 M | ||||
| Working Capital | (17.07 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 97.33 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 66.54 M | ||||
About Natural Grocers Performance
By analyzing Natural Grocers' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Natural Grocers' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Natural Grocers has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Natural Grocers has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 57.77 | 61.11 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.11 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.22 | 0.15 |
Things to note about Natural Grocers by performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Natural Grocers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Natural Grocers by help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Natural Grocers by generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Natural Grocers by has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Natural Grocers by has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 11th of June 2025 Natural Grocers paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Natural Grocers Expands Private-Label Brand with Organic Wellne |
- Analyzing Natural Grocers' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Natural Grocers' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Natural Grocers' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Natural Grocers' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Natural Grocers' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Natural Grocers' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Natural Grocers' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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When running Natural Grocers' price analysis, check to measure Natural Grocers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Grocers is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Grocers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Grocers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Grocers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Grocers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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