Cerence Stock Performance

CRNC Stock  USD 9.53  0.47  4.70%   
Cerence has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 3.27, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Cerence will likely underperform. Cerence right now shows a risk of 5.66%. Please confirm Cerence semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Cerence will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cerence are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating basic indicators, Cerence may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.70)
Five Day Return
(1.04)
Year To Date Return
20.18
Ten Year Return
(62.63)
All Time Return
(62.63)
1
Cerence Files Lawsuit Against Microsoft Over AI Technology
05/07/2025
2
Institutional owners may ignore Cerence Inc.s recent US58m market cap decline as longer-term profits stay in the green
05/22/2025
3
Jim Cramer Recommends Nvidia Over Very Cheap Semiconductor Stock - Benzinga
06/03/2025
4
Cerence Moves 14.8 percent Higher Will This Strength Last
06/25/2025
5
Cerence AI Powers In-Car Experience in Premier German Automakers New Electric Sedan
06/26/2025
6
How Strong Is SOUNs Automotive Voice AI Pipeline Going Into 2025
06/27/2025
7
Cerence Inc Shares Up 9.53 percent on Jun 30
06/30/2025
8
Cerence Inks Strategic EV Partnership with Mahindra
07/09/2025
9
Cerence May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
07/15/2025
10
Cerence AI Powers Next-Gen Mercedes-Benz MBUX with Advanced GenAI, Conversational Capabilities
07/21/2025
11
Cerence to Announce Fiscal Third Quarter Results on August 6, 2025
07/23/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow101.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities4.4 M

Cerence Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  950.00  in Cerence on April 26, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3.00  from holding Cerence or generate 0.32% return on investment over 90 days. Cerence is currently generating 0.1575% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.6563% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 50% of stocks are less volatile than Cerence, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cerence is expected to generate 1.12 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.19 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.22 per unit of volatility.

Cerence Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Cerence's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Cerence, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Cerence's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0278

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Estimated Market Risk

 5.66
  actual daily
50
50% of assets are less volatile

Expected Return

 0.16
  actual daily
3
97% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.03
  actual daily
2
98% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Cerence is performing at about 2% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Cerence by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Cerence Fundamentals Growth

Cerence Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Cerence, and Cerence fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Cerence Stock performance.

About Cerence Performance

By analyzing Cerence's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Cerence's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Cerence has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Cerence has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.67)(1.59)
Return On Capital Employed(1.37)(1.30)
Return On Assets(0.96)(0.91)
Return On Equity(4.79)(4.55)

Things to note about Cerence performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cerence for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Cerence help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cerence had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Cerence has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 331.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (588.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 178.58 M.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Cerence to Announce Fiscal Third Quarter Results on August 6, 2025
Evaluating Cerence's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Cerence's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Cerence's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Cerence's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Cerence's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Cerence's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Cerence's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Cerence's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Cerence's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Cerence's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Cerence's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Cerence Stock analysis

When running Cerence's price analysis, check to measure Cerence's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cerence is operating at the current time. Most of Cerence's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cerence's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cerence's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cerence to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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