Certara Stock Performance

CERT Stock  USD 11.09  0.11  1.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.42, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Certara will likely underperform. At this point, Certara has a negative expected return of -0.3%. Please make sure to confirm Certara's total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Certara performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Certara has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in August 2025. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1
Five Day Return
7.98
Year To Date Return
4.03
Ten Year Return
(70.88)
All Time Return
(70.88)
1
Certara Inc Q1 2025 Earnings EPS of 0. ...
05/05/2025
2
Disposition of 8663 shares by Cashman James E Iii of Certara subject to Rule 16b-3
05/09/2025
3
Acquisition by William Feehery of 187144 shares of Certara subject to Rule 16b-3
05/20/2025
4
Acquisition by Walsh Matthew M of 15757 shares of Certara subject to Rule 16b-3
05/23/2025
5
Disposition of 33220 shares by William Feehery of Certara subject to Rule 16b-3
05/30/2025
6
Certara Inc Shares Gap Down to 11.25 on Jun 12
06/12/2025
7
Certara Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
06/17/2025
8
What Analysts Are Saying About Certara Stock
07/03/2025
9
Certara Inc Expands Collaboration with Merck to Enhance Clinical Data Management CERT ...
07/08/2025
10
Certara to Report Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results on August 6th, 2025
07/09/2025
11
Morgan Stanley Assumes Coverage of Certara Stock
07/10/2025
12
Certara Stock Keybanc Maintains Overweight, Lowers Price Target CERT Stock News
07/14/2025
13
Certara Price Target Cut to 15.00 by Analysts at KeyCorp
07/16/2025
14
Mendel Money Management Has 1.07 Million Stock Holdings in Certara, Inc.
07/24/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow235 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-112.4 M

Certara Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,373  in Certara on April 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (264.00) from holding Certara or give up 19.23% of portfolio value over 90 days. Certara is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.9161% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 26% of stocks are less volatile than Certara, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Certara is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.76 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.23 per unit of volatility.

Certara Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Certara's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Certara, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Certara's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1013

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Negative ReturnsCERT

Estimated Market Risk

 2.92
  actual daily
26
74% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.3
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.1
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Certara is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Certara by adding Certara to a well-diversified portfolio.

Certara Fundamentals Growth

Certara Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Certara, and Certara fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Certara Stock performance.

About Certara Performance

Assessing Certara's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Certara's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Certara is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 9.82  14.55 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.01)(0.01)

Things to note about Certara performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Certara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Certara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Certara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 385.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.72 M.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Mendel Money Management Has 1.07 Million Stock Holdings in Certara, Inc.
Evaluating Certara's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Certara's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Certara's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Certara's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Certara's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Certara's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Certara's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Certara's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Certara's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Certara's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Certara's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Certara Stock Analysis

When running Certara's price analysis, check to measure Certara's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Certara is operating at the current time. Most of Certara's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Certara's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Certara's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Certara to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.