BP Plc (Germany) Performance

BSU Stock   32.00  0.40  1.27%   
BP Plc has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, BP Plc's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding BP Plc is expected to be smaller as well. BP plc today owns a risk of 1.68%. Please confirm BP plc value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to decide if BP plc will be following its current price history.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BP plc are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively fragile basic indicators, BP Plc may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
  

BP Plc Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,979  in BP plc on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  221.00  from holding BP plc or generate 7.42% return on investment over 90 days. BP plc is generating 0.1313% of daily returns and assumes 1.6824% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 15% of stocks are less volatile than BSU, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BP Plc is expected to generate 2.27 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.27 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

BP Plc Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of BSU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 32.00 90 days 32.00 
nearly 4.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BP Plc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.56 (This BP plc probability density function shows the probability of BSU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BP Plc has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BP Plc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BP plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BP plc has an alpha of 0.1171, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BP Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BP Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BP plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BP Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.3232.0033.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.4231.1032.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.3632.0433.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.5130.3032.09
Details

BP Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BP Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BP Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BP plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BP Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

BP Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BP Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BP plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BP plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 241.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.49 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 69.41 B.

BP Plc Fundamentals Growth

BSU Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of BP Plc, and BP Plc fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on BSU Stock performance.

About BP Plc Performance

Assessing BP Plc's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into BP Plc's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the BP Plc is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about BP plc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about BP Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for BP plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BP plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 241.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.49 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 69.41 B.
Evaluating BP Plc's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate BP Plc's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing BP Plc's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether BP Plc's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining BP Plc's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating BP Plc's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of BP Plc's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of BP Plc's stock. These opinions can provide insight into BP Plc's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating BP Plc's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact BP Plc's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for BSU Stock Analysis

When running BP Plc's price analysis, check to measure BP Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BP Plc is operating at the current time. Most of BP Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BP Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BP Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BP Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.