Bridger Aerospace Group Stock Performance

BAER Stock   2.58  0.06  2.38%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.33, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Bridger Aerospace will likely underperform. At this point, Bridger Aerospace has a negative expected return of -0.42%. Please make sure to confirm Bridger Aerospace's skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if Bridger Aerospace performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Bridger Aerospace Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in October 2024. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.38
Five Day Return
(13.13)
Year To Date Return
(61.89)
Ten Year Return
(73.37)
All Time Return
(73.37)
1
Discretionary transaction by Sheehy Matthew of tradable shares of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
07/23/2024
2
Acquisition by Kelter Jeffrey E of 527800 shares of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
07/26/2024
3
Lost Money on Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Contact Levi Korsinsky Regarding an Ongoing Investigation
08/01/2024
4
Investors Of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc Can Join Fraud Investigation With The Schall Law Firm
08/08/2024
5
Disposition of tradable shares by Drohan Dan of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
08/12/2024
6
BAER Stock Earnings Bridger Aerospace Gr Misses EPS, Misses Revenue for Q2 2024
08/13/2024
7
Investors Are Welcome To Join The Schall Law Firms Fraud Investigation Into Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc
08/15/2024
8
Newman Ferrara LLP Announces Corporate Governance Investigation of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. BAER
08/19/2024
9
The Zacks Analyst Blog Eli Lilly, Chevron, Abbott and Bridger Aerospace
08/27/2024
10
Discretionary transaction by Blackstone Holdings Ii L.p. of tradable shares of Bridger Aerospace subject to Rule 16b-3
09/12/2024
11
Disposition of 19323 shares by Sam Davis of Bridger Aerospace at 2.56 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/16/2024
12
Disposition of 2399 shares by Sam Davis of Bridger Aerospace at 2.64 subject to Rule 16b-3
09/17/2024
13
Bridger Aerospace executive sells over 133k in company stock
09/18/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow42.5 M
  

Bridger Aerospace Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  395.00  in Bridger Aerospace Group on June 22, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (137.00) from holding Bridger Aerospace Group or give up 34.68% of portfolio value over 90 days. Bridger Aerospace Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 7.6639% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 68% of stocks are less volatile than Bridger, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bridger Aerospace is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 9.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Bridger Aerospace Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bridger Aerospace's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Bridger Aerospace Group, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Bridger Aerospace's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0552

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Negative ReturnsBAER

Estimated Market Risk

 7.66
  actual daily
68
68% of assets are less volatile

Expected Return

 -0.42
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.06
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Bridger Aerospace is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Bridger Aerospace by adding Bridger Aerospace to a well-diversified portfolio.

Bridger Aerospace Fundamentals Growth

Bridger Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Bridger Aerospace, and Bridger Aerospace fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Bridger Stock performance.

About Bridger Aerospace Performance

Assessing Bridger Aerospace's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Bridger Aerospace's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Bridger Aerospace is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 4.31  4.09 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.30)(0.31)
Return On Capital Employed(0.23)(0.22)
Return On Assets(0.28)(0.30)
Return On Equity(2.87)(2.73)

Things to note about Bridger Aerospace performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bridger Aerospace for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Bridger Aerospace help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bridger Aerospace generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bridger Aerospace has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Bridger Aerospace has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (77.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.5 M.
Bridger Aerospace generates negative cash flow from operations
Bridger Aerospace has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from investing.com: Bridger Aerospace executive sells over 133k in company stock
Evaluating Bridger Aerospace's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Bridger Aerospace's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Bridger Aerospace's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Bridger Aerospace's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Bridger Aerospace's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Bridger Aerospace's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Bridger Aerospace's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Bridger Aerospace's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Bridger Aerospace's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Bridger Aerospace's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Bridger Aerospace's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Bridger Stock Analysis

When running Bridger Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Bridger Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridger Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Bridger Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridger Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridger Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.