HDFC Nifty (India) Market Value

HDFCSML250   176.21  1.40  0.80%   
HDFC Nifty's market value is the price at which a share of HDFC Nifty trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HDFC Nifty Smallcap investors about its performance. HDFC Nifty is selling for 176.21 as of the 28th of November 2024. This is a 0.80 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's lowest day price was 174.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HDFC Nifty Smallcap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HDFC Nifty over a given investment horizon. Check out HDFC Nifty Correlation, HDFC Nifty Volatility and HDFC Nifty Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HDFC Nifty.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HDFC Nifty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HDFC Nifty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HDFC Nifty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HDFC Nifty 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HDFC Nifty's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HDFC Nifty.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HDFC Nifty on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HDFC Nifty Smallcap or generate 0.0% return on investment in HDFC Nifty over 30 days. HDFC Nifty is related to or competes with Kingfa Science, GTL, Agro Phos, Indo Amines, Rico Auto, GACM Technologies, and Exide Industries. HDFC Nifty is entity of India. It is traded as Etf on NSE exchange. More

HDFC Nifty Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HDFC Nifty's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HDFC Nifty Smallcap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HDFC Nifty Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HDFC Nifty's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HDFC Nifty's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HDFC Nifty historical prices to predict the future HDFC Nifty's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HDFC Nifty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
175.04176.21177.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
175.33176.50177.67
Details

HDFC Nifty Smallcap Backtested Returns

HDFC Nifty Smallcap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.047, which attests that the entity had a -0.047% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. HDFC Nifty Smallcap exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out HDFC Nifty's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.26), coefficient of variation of (2,942), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.18, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, HDFC Nifty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HDFC Nifty is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.12  

Insignificant reverse predictability

HDFC Nifty Smallcap has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HDFC Nifty time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HDFC Nifty Smallcap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current HDFC Nifty price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.12
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance9.85

HDFC Nifty Smallcap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HDFC Nifty etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HDFC Nifty's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HDFC Nifty returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HDFC Nifty has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HDFC Nifty regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HDFC Nifty etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HDFC Nifty etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HDFC Nifty etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HDFC Nifty Lagged Returns

When evaluating HDFC Nifty's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HDFC Nifty etf have on its future price. HDFC Nifty autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HDFC Nifty autocorrelation shows the relationship between HDFC Nifty etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HDFC Nifty Smallcap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in HDFC Etf

HDFC Nifty financial ratios help investors to determine whether HDFC Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HDFC with respect to the benefits of owning HDFC Nifty security.