Circle Internet Group, Stock Market Value
| CRCL Stock | USD 125.24 9.80 7.26% |
| Symbol | Circle |
Is Banking space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Circle Internet. If investors know Circle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Circle Internet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Circle Internet Group, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Circle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Circle Internet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Circle Internet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Circle Internet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Circle Internet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Circle Internet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Circle Internet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Circle Internet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Circle Internet 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Circle Internet's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Circle Internet.
| 05/28/2025 |
| 08/26/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Circle Internet on May 28, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Circle Internet Group, or generate 0.0% return on investment in Circle Internet over 90 days. Circle Internet is related to or competes with Robinhood Markets, EToro, Marathon Digital, CleanSpark, IREN, Hut 8, and Goldman Sachs. Circle Star Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, development, and exploration of oi... More
Circle Internet Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Circle Internet's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Circle Internet Group, upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 7.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.165 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 184.02 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.79) | |||
| Potential Upside | 29.4 |
Circle Internet Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Circle Internet's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Circle Internet's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Circle Internet historical prices to predict the future Circle Internet's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1291 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 4.3 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2617 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.5611 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (2.66) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Circle Internet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Circle Internet Group, Backtested Returns
Circle Internet is not too volatile given 3 months investment horizon. Circle Internet Group, secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 4.14% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Circle Internet Mean Deviation of 11.19, downside deviation of 7.16, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1291 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Circle Internet holds a performance score of 13 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.55, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Circle Internet are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Circle Internet is expected to outperform it. Use Circle Internet treynor ratio, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to analyze future returns on Circle Internet.
Auto-correlation | -0.64 |
Very good reverse predictability
Circle Internet Group, has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Circle Internet time series from 28th of May 2025 to 12th of July 2025 and 12th of July 2025 to 26th of August 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Circle Internet Group, price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Circle Internet price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.68 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 786.82 |
Circle Internet Group, lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Circle Internet stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Circle Internet's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Circle Internet returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Circle Internet has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Circle Internet regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Circle Internet stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Circle Internet stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Circle Internet stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Circle Internet Lagged Returns
When evaluating Circle Internet's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Circle Internet stock have on its future price. Circle Internet autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Circle Internet autocorrelation shows the relationship between Circle Internet stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Circle Internet Group,.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Circle Internet technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.