Caledonia Mining Stock Market Value

CMCL Stock  USD 21.69  0.11  0.50%   
Caledonia Mining's market value is the price at which a share of Caledonia Mining trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Caledonia Mining investors about its performance. Caledonia Mining is selling for 21.69 as of the 25th of July 2025. This is a 0.5% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 21.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Caledonia Mining and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Caledonia Mining over a given investment horizon. Check out Caledonia Mining Correlation, Caledonia Mining Volatility and Caledonia Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Caledonia Mining.
For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.
Symbol

Caledonia Mining Price To Book Ratio

Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caledonia Mining. If investors know Caledonia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caledonia Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.128
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
0.91
Revenue Per Share
9.922
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.459
The market value of Caledonia Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caledonia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caledonia Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caledonia Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caledonia Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caledonia Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caledonia Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caledonia Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caledonia Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Caledonia Mining 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Caledonia Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Caledonia Mining.
0.00
04/26/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
07/25/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Caledonia Mining on April 26, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Caledonia Mining or generate 0.0% return on investment in Caledonia Mining over 90 days. Caledonia Mining is related to or competes with DRDGOLD Limited, Galiano Gold, Mastech Holdings, EMX Royalty, and Equinox Gold. Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc primarily engages in the operation of a gold mine More

Caledonia Mining Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Caledonia Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Caledonia Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Caledonia Mining Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Caledonia Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Caledonia Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Caledonia Mining historical prices to predict the future Caledonia Mining's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caledonia Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5521.6925.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5616.7023.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.1722.3126.46
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.4320.2522.48
Details

Caledonia Mining Backtested Returns

Caledonia Mining appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Caledonia Mining secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.21, which signifies that the company had a 0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Caledonia Mining's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.89% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Caledonia Mining's Downside Deviation of 3.0, mean deviation of 3.08, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1591 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Caledonia Mining holds a performance score of 16. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.24, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Caledonia Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Caledonia Mining is likely to outperform the market. Please check Caledonia Mining's total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Caledonia Mining's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.82  

Very good predictability

Caledonia Mining has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Caledonia Mining time series from 26th of April 2025 to 10th of June 2025 and 10th of June 2025 to 25th of July 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Caledonia Mining price movement. The serial correlation of 0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Caledonia Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.52

Caledonia Mining lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Caledonia Mining stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Caledonia Mining's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Caledonia Mining returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Caledonia Mining has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Caledonia Mining regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Caledonia Mining stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Caledonia Mining stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Caledonia Mining stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Caledonia Mining Lagged Returns

When evaluating Caledonia Mining's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Caledonia Mining stock have on its future price. Caledonia Mining autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Caledonia Mining autocorrelation shows the relationship between Caledonia Mining stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Caledonia Mining.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Prophet
When determining whether Caledonia Mining is a strong investment it is important to analyze Caledonia Mining's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Caledonia Mining's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Caledonia Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Caledonia Mining Correlation, Caledonia Mining Volatility and Caledonia Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Caledonia Mining.
For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Caledonia Mining technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Caledonia Mining technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Caledonia Mining trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...