Is Cheesecake Factory Stock a Good Investment?

Cheesecake Factory Investment Advice

  CAKE
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on The Cheesecake Factory stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating The Cheesecake Factory. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Cheesecake Factory in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Cheesecake Factory's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Cheesecake Factory's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Cheesecake Factory navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space and any emerging trends that could impact Cheesecake Factory's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Cheesecake Factory's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Cheesecake Factory is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Cheesecake Factory pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Cheesecake Factory's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in The Cheesecake Factory stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if The Cheesecake Factory is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Hold
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Cheesecake Factory trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Cheesecake Factory is not overpriced, please confirm all The Cheesecake Factory fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that The Cheesecake Factory has a price to earning of 19.59 X, we suggest you to validate The Cheesecake Factory market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Cheesecake Factory Stock

Researching Cheesecake Factory's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.0. The Cheesecake Factory last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 9th of December 2004.
To determine if Cheesecake Factory is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Cheesecake Factory's research are outlined below:
The Cheesecake Factory currently holds 1.91 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The Cheesecake Factory has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cheesecake Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 99.0% of Cheesecake Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 18th of March 2025 Cheesecake Factory paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Cheesecake Factory Inc Announces Q1 2025 Financial Results Release Date

Cheesecake Factory Quarterly Accounts Payable

62.09 Million

Cheesecake Factory uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in The Cheesecake Factory. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Cheesecake Factory's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
28th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
28th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Cheesecake Factory's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Cheesecake Factory's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2001-04-19
2001-01-310.10.110.0110 
2000-10-26
2000-07-310.10.110.0110 
2000-07-25
2000-04-300.10.110.0110 
2000-04-25
2000-01-310.070.080.0114 
1997-04-24
1997-01-310.040.03-0.0125 
2002-01-31
2001-10-310.130.150.0215 
2013-04-24
2013-01-310.420.470.0511 
2009-10-22
2009-07-310.240.290.0520 

Cheesecake Factory Target Price Consensus

Cheesecake target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Cheesecake Factory's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   19  Buy
Most Cheesecake analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Cheesecake stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of The Cheesecake Factory, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Cheesecake Factory Target Price Projection

Cheesecake Factory's current and average target prices are 47.76 and 50.29, respectively. The current price of Cheesecake Factory is the price at which The Cheesecake Factory is currently trading. On the other hand, Cheesecake Factory's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Cheesecake Factory Market Quote on 10th of April 2025

Low Price43.0Odds
High Price49.02Odds

47.76

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Cheesecake Factory Target Price

Low Estimate45.77Odds
High Estimate55.83Odds

50.2941

Historical Lowest Forecast  45.77 Target Price  50.29 Highest Forecast  55.83
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on The Cheesecake Factory and the information provided on this page.

Cheesecake Factory Analyst Ratings

Cheesecake Factory's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Cheesecake Factory stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Cheesecake Factory's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Cheesecake Factory's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Cheesecake Factory's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Cheesecake Factory is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading The Cheesecake Factory backward and forwards among themselves. Cheesecake Factory's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Cheesecake Factory's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
1.1 M
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-12-31
1.1 M
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2024-12-31
868.8 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
860.1 K
Jcp Investment Management, Llc2024-12-31
667.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
634.2 K
Palisade Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
626.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
618.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
7.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
5.4 M
Note, although Cheesecake Factory's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cheesecake Factory's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.47 B.

Market Cap

198.71 Million

Cheesecake Factory's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.35  0.37 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.04 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.07 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.07.
Determining Cheesecake Factory's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Cheesecake Factory is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Cheesecake Factory's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Cheesecake Factory's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the presentation of Cheesecake Factory's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Cheesecake Factory's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Cheesecake Factory's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Cheesecake Factory's management efficiency

The Cheesecake Factory has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0413 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0413 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.4118 %, meaning that it created $0.4118 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Cheesecake Factory's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Cheesecake Factory manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At present, Cheesecake Factory's Return On Assets are projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Equity is expected to grow to 0.37, whereas Return On Capital Employed is forecasted to decline to 0.07. At present, Cheesecake Factory's Other Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to 0.08, whereas Non Currrent Assets Other are forecasted to decline to about 106.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 9.28  5.73 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 4.01  4.74 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 14.48  14.75 
Price Book Value Ratio 5.11  3.15 
Enterprise Value Multiple 14.48  14.75 
Price Fair Value 5.11  3.15 
Enterprise Value200.1 M190.1 M
Understanding the management dynamics of The Cheesecake Factory allows us to gauge its ability to sustain growth and profitability. This comprehensive analysis aids in determining the stock's value.
Dividend Yield
0.0236
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0236
Forward Dividend Rate
1.08
Beta
1.239

Basic technical analysis of Cheesecake Stock

As of the 10th of April, Cheesecake Factory shows the Mean Deviation of 2.11, risk adjusted performance of 0.0017, and Coefficient Of Variation of (54,127). The Cheesecake Factory technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm The Cheesecake Factory standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and potential upside to decide if The Cheesecake Factory is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 47.76 per share. Given that Cheesecake Factory has information ratio of 0.0212, we suggest you to validate The Cheesecake Factory's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Cheesecake Factory's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Cheesecake Factory insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Cheesecake Factory's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Cheesecake Factory insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Cheesecake Factory's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Cheesecake Factory issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. The Cheesecake Factory uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Cheesecake bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when The Cheesecake Factory has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Cheesecake Factory's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Cheesecake Factory's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Cheesecake Factory's intraday indicators

Cheesecake Factory intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Cheesecake Factory stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Cheesecake Factory Corporate Filings

F4
3rd of April 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
28th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10K
24th of February 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
10Q
4th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
Cheesecake Factory time-series forecasting models is one of many Cheesecake Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Cheesecake Factory's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Cheesecake Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Cheesecake Factory that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Cheesecake media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Cheesecake internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Cheesecake data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Cheesecake Factory news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Cheesecake Factory relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Cheesecake Factory's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Cheesecake Factory alpha.

Cheesecake Factory Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Cheesecake Factory can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

The Cheesecake Factory Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Cheesecake Factory's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cheesecake. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cheesecake can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around The Cheesecake Factory. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Cheesecake Factory's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Cheesecake Factory and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Cheesecake Factory news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Cheesecake Factory.

Cheesecake Factory Maximum Pain Price Across July 18th 2025 Option Contracts

Cheesecake Factory's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Cheesecake Factory close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Cheesecake Factory's options.
When determining whether The Cheesecake Factory is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheesecake Factory's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheesecake Factory's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheesecake Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in The Cheesecake Factory. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheesecake Factory. If investors know Cheesecake will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cheesecake Factory listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.128
Dividend Share
1.08
Earnings Share
3.2
Revenue Per Share
74.948
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.05
The market value of The Cheesecake Factory is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cheesecake that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cheesecake Factory's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cheesecake Factory's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cheesecake Factory's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cheesecake Factory's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Cheesecake Factory's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Cheesecake Factory is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheesecake Factory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.