Is MOGU Stock a Good Investment?
MOGU Investment Advice | MOGU |
- Examine MOGU's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research MOGU's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help MOGU navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Broadline Retail space and any emerging trends that could impact MOGU's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare MOGU's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how MOGU is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if MOGU pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about MOGU's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in MOGU Inc stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if MOGU Inc is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Examine MOGU Stock
Researching MOGU's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MOGU Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.83. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:12 split on the 28th of March 2022.
To determine if MOGU is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding MOGU's research are outlined below:
| MOGU Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| MOGU Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 160.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (59.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 177.87 M. | |
| MOGU Inc currently holds about 637.98 M in cash with (40.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 76.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MOGU Announces Unaudited Financial Results for the Six Months Ended September 30, 2024 |
MOGU uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in MOGU Inc. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to MOGU's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 14th of June 2023 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 31st of March 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact MOGU's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises MOGU's investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021-12-23 | 2021-09-30 | -0.03 | -0.01 | 0.02 | 66 | ||
2021-08-27 | 2021-06-30 | -0.06 | -0.04 | 0.02 | 33 | ||
2021-05-28 | 2021-03-31 | -0.01 | -0.04 | -0.03 | 300 | ||
2021-02-25 | 2020-12-31 | 0.04 | -0.01 | -0.05 | 125 | ||
2020-03-12 | 2019-12-31 | -0.96 | -0.6 | 0.36 | 37 | ||
2020-11-30 | 2020-09-30 | -2.28 | -1.32 | 0.96 | 42 | ||
2020-08-24 | 2020-06-30 | -0.43 | -1.56 | -1.13 | 262 | ||
2019-02-25 | 2018-12-31 | -9.36 | -7.08 | 2.28 | 24 |
Know MOGU's Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as MOGU is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MOGU Inc backward and forwards among themselves. MOGU's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase MOGU's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Hillhouse Capital Advisors, Ltd. | 2024-09-30 | 847.5 K | Tb Alternative Assets Ltd. | 2024-09-30 | 689.1 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 17.4 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 16.3 K | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-06-30 | 425 | Qube Research & Technologies | 2024-06-30 | 3.0 | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 2.0 |
MOGU's market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 16.75 M.Market Cap |
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MOGU's profitablity analysis
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.06) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.13) | (0.13) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.06) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.10) | (0.11) |
Determining MOGU's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if MOGU is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures MOGU's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of MOGU's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in MOGU's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of MOGU Inc. Check MOGU's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of MOGU's management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate MOGU's management efficiency
MOGU Inc has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0445) % which means that it has lost $0.0445 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.1042) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. MOGU's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well MOGU manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.07 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.13 in 2024. At this time, MOGU's Total Current Liabilities is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Change To Liabilities is expected to grow at the current pace this year, whereas Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop slightly above 891.4 M in 2024.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Book Value Per Share | 70.96 | 67.41 | |
| Tangible Book Value Per Share | 70.85 | 67.31 | |
| Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 4.61 | 4.84 | |
| Price Book Value Ratio | 0.20 | 0.19 | |
| Enterprise Value Multiple | 4.61 | 4.84 | |
| Price Fair Value | 0.20 | 0.19 | |
| Enterprise Value | -237.2 M | -225.3 M |
At MOGU Inc, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Beta 0.591 |
Basic technical analysis of MOGU Stock
As of the 25th of November, MOGU secures the risk adjusted performance of 0.0202, and Mean Deviation of 3.44. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check practical technical drivers of MOGU Inc, as well as the relationship between them.MOGU's Outstanding Corporate Bonds
MOGU issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. MOGU Inc uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most MOGU bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when MOGU Inc has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
| Boeing Co 2196 Corp BondUS097023DG73 | View | |
| HSBC Holdings PLC Corp BondUS404280DR76 | View | |
| MGM Resorts International Corp BondUS552953CD18 | View | |
| AerCap Global Aviation Corp BondUS00773HAA59 | View |
Understand MOGU's technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing MOGU's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0202 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0519 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.46 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 6536.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.97 | |||
| Variance | 24.75 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.72) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0419 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 32.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.44) | |||
| Skewness | 1.13 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.19 |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0202 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0519 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.44 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.46 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 6536.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.97 | |||
| Variance | 24.75 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.12) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.72) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0419 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 32.91 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 8.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.44) | |||
| Skewness | 1.13 | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.19 |
Consider MOGU's intraday indicators
MOGU intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of MOGU stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
MOGU Corporate Filings
6K | 22nd of November 2024 A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges. | ViewVerify |
| 19th of July 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
13A | 14th of February 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
13A | 5th of February 2024 The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 | ViewVerify |
MOGU Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about MOGU that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through MOGU media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via MOGU internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of MOGU data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of MOGU news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of MOGU relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to MOGU's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive MOGU alpha.
MOGU Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards MOGU can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Additional Tools for MOGU Stock Analysis
When running MOGU's price analysis, check to measure MOGU's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOGU is operating at the current time. Most of MOGU's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOGU's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOGU's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOGU to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.