Is Chipotle Mexican Stock a Good Investment?

Chipotle Mexican Investment Advice

  CMG
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Chipotle Mexican Grill stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Chipotle Mexican Grill. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Chipotle Mexican in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Chipotle Mexican's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Chipotle Mexican's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Chipotle Mexican navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space and any emerging trends that could impact Chipotle Mexican's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Chipotle Mexican's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Chipotle Mexican is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Chipotle Mexican pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Chipotle Mexican's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Chipotle Mexican Grill is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Chipotle Mexican advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Chipotle Mexican is not overpriced, please confirm all Chipotle Mexican Grill fundamentals, including its revenue, total debt, and the relationship between the price to earning and net income . Given that Chipotle Mexican Grill has a price to earning of 106.17 X, we suggest you to validate Chipotle Mexican Grill market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

WeakestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine Chipotle Mexican Stock

Researching Chipotle Mexican's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.98. Chipotle Mexican Grill had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 50:1 split on the 26th of June 2024.
To determine if Chipotle Mexican is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Chipotle Mexican's research are outlined below:
Chipotle Mexican generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Chipotle Mexican is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from deadline.com: Charlize Theron Channing Tatum To Star In Comedy Dance Parents

Chipotle Mexican Quarterly Accounts Payable

216.35 Million

Chipotle Mexican uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Chipotle Mexican Grill. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Chipotle Mexican's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
23rd of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Chipotle Mexican's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Chipotle Mexican's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-07-22
2020-06-300.0070.0080.00114 
2007-02-15
2006-12-310.00560.00660.00117 
2006-03-13
2005-12-310.00220.00320.00145 
2007-05-01
2007-03-310.00640.00760.001218 
2006-07-31
2006-06-300.0050.00660.001632 
2007-10-30
2007-09-300.01060.01240.001816 
2006-10-31
2006-09-300.00540.00720.001833 
2006-05-08
2006-03-310.00240.00520.0028116 

Chipotle Mexican Target Price Consensus

Chipotle target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Chipotle Mexican's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   34  Strong Buy
Most Chipotle analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Chipotle stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Chipotle Mexican Grill, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Chipotle Mexican Target Price Projection

Chipotle Mexican's current and average target prices are 42.63 and 57.94, respectively. The current price of Chipotle Mexican is the price at which Chipotle Mexican Grill is currently trading. On the other hand, Chipotle Mexican's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Chipotle Mexican Market Quote on 5th of August 2025

Low Price42.43Odds
High Price43.41Odds

42.63

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Chipotle Mexican Target Price

Low Estimate52.72Odds
High Estimate64.31Odds

57.9394

Historical Lowest Forecast  52.72 Target Price  57.94 Highest Forecast  64.31
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Chipotle Mexican Grill and the information provided on this page.

Chipotle Mexican Analyst Ratings

Chipotle Mexican's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Chipotle Mexican stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Chipotle Mexican's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Chipotle Mexican's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Chipotle Mexican's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Chipotle Mexican is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chipotle Mexican Grill backward and forwards among themselves. Chipotle Mexican's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Chipotle Mexican's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-03-31
18.4 M
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32025-03-31
17.5 M
Ing Investment Management Llc2025-03-31
15.6 M
Northern Trust Corp2025-03-31
14.4 M
Edgewood Management Llc2025-03-31
13.8 M
Franklin Resources Inc2025-03-31
13.5 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2025-03-31
11.1 M
Nuveen, Llc2025-03-31
10.7 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2025-03-31
10.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-03-31
122.5 M
Blackrock Inc2025-03-31
109.6 M
Note, although Chipotle Mexican's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Chipotle Mexican's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 57.5 B.

Market Cap

21.94 Billion

Chipotle Mexican's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.18 
Return On Capital Employed 0.24  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.17  0.18 
Return On Equity 0.42  0.44 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.13 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.18 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.18 of operating income.
Determining Chipotle Mexican's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Chipotle Mexican is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Chipotle Mexican's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Chipotle Mexican's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Chipotle Mexican's management efficiency

Chipotle Mexican Grill has Return on Asset of 0.1367 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1367 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.4259 %, implying that it generated $0.4259 on every 100 dollars invested. Chipotle Mexican's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Chipotle Mexican manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Chipotle Mexican's Return On Equity is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. At this time, Chipotle Mexican's Non Currrent Assets Other are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Chipotle Mexican's current Other Current Assets is estimated to increase to about 102.4 M, while Net Tangible Assets are projected to decrease to roughly 1.8 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 2.67  2.81 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 2.66  2.79 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 37.20  20.27 
Price Book Value Ratio 22.57  23.70 
Enterprise Value Multiple 37.20  20.27 
Price Fair Value 22.57  23.70 
Enterprise Value23 B24.2 B
Chipotle Mexican Grill has shown resilience through effective management strategies. Our analysis examines how these strategies influence financial outcomes and investor returns which helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Beta
1.049

Basic technical analysis of Chipotle Stock

As of the 5th of August, Chipotle Mexican shows the Standard Deviation of 2.45, mean deviation of 1.63, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07). Chipotle Mexican Grill technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Chipotle Mexican Grill information ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis to decide if Chipotle Mexican Grill is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 42.63 per share. Given that Chipotle Mexican has information ratio of (0.14), we suggest you to validate Chipotle Mexican Grill's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Chipotle Mexican's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Chipotle Mexican insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Chipotle Mexican's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Chipotle Mexican insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Jamie McConnell over three months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jamie McConnell over three months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jamie McConnell over six months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jamie McConnell over six months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jamie McConnell over six months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jamie McConnell over six months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jamie McConnell over six months ago
Insider Trading
 
Christopher Brandt over six months ago
Disposition of 145000 shares by Christopher Brandt of Chipotle Mexican subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Jamie McConnell over six months ago
Insider Trading
 
Jamie McConnell over six months ago
Insider Trading
 
Laurie Schalow over a year ago
Sale by Laurie Schalow of 162 shares of Chipotle Mexican
 
Laurie Schalow over a year ago
Exercise or conversion by Laurie Schalow of 1666 shares of Chipotle Mexican subject to Rule 16b-3

Chipotle Mexican's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Chipotle Mexican issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Chipotle Mexican Grill uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Chipotle bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Chipotle Mexican Grill has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Chipotle Mexican's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Chipotle Mexican's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Chipotle Mexican's intraday indicators

Chipotle Mexican intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Chipotle Mexican stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Chipotle Mexican Corporate Filings

F4
29th of July 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
24th of July 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of July 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
29th of May 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
Chipotle Mexican time-series forecasting models is one of many Chipotle Mexican's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Chipotle Mexican's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Chipotle Stock media impact

There is far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Chipotle Mexican that are available to investors today. This information is accessible both publicly - through Chipotle Mexican's media outlets and privately, via word of mouth or internal channels. However, regardless of the source, the sheer volume of Chipotle-related data is difficult to distill into actionable insights, especially for investors who are not well-versed in the rapidly evolving tools and techniques of investment management.
A primary focus of Chipotle Mexican news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Chipotle Mexican relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Chipotle Mexican's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Chipotle Mexican alpha.

Chipotle Mexican Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Chipotle Mexican can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Chipotle Mexican's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chipotle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chipotle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chipotle Mexican Grill. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Chipotle Mexican's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Chipotle Mexican and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Chipotle Mexican news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Chipotle Mexican.

Chipotle Mexican Maximum Pain Price Across October 17th 2025 Option Contracts

Chipotle Mexican's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Chipotle Mexican close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Chipotle Mexican's options.

Chipotle Mexican Corporate Directors

Ali NamvarIndependent DirectorProfile
Neil FlanzraichLead Independent DirectorProfile
Robin HickenlooperIndependent DirectorProfile
Scott MawLead Independent DirectorProfile
When determining whether Chipotle Mexican Grill is a strong investment it is important to analyze Chipotle Mexican's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Chipotle Mexican's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Chipotle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Chipotle Mexican Grill. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chipotle Mexican. If investors know Chipotle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chipotle Mexican listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Earnings Share
1.13
Revenue Per Share
8.532
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.03
Return On Assets
0.1367
The market value of Chipotle Mexican Grill is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chipotle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chipotle Mexican's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chipotle Mexican's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chipotle Mexican's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chipotle Mexican's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Chipotle Mexican's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Chipotle Mexican is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chipotle Mexican's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.