Is Azul SA Stock a Good Investment?

Azul SA Investment Advice

  AZUL
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Azul SA stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Azul SA. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Azul SA in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Azul SA's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Azul SA's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Azul SA navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Passenger Airlines space and any emerging trends that could impact Azul SA's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Azul SA's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Azul SA is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Azul SA pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Azul SA's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Azul SA stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Azul SA is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Azul SA. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Azul SA is not overpriced, please confirm all Azul SA fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the net income and target price . Please also double-check Azul SA price to sales to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Azul SA Stock

Researching Azul SA's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 25.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.66. Azul SA had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Azul SA is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Azul SA's research are outlined below:
Azul SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Azul SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Azul SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Azul SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Azul SA currently holds 24.87 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 122.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Azul SA has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Azul SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 18.55 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.38 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.68 B.
Latest headline from zacks.com: AZUL Set to Report Q3 Earnings Whats in the Offing for the Stock
Azul SA uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Azul SA. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Azul SA's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
4th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
20th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
4th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Azul SA's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Azul SA's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2018-11-08
2018-09-300.210.260.0523 
2019-03-14
2018-12-310.380.32-0.0615 
2019-05-09
2019-03-310.390.31-0.0820 
2022-02-24
2021-12-31-0.49-0.59-0.120 
2017-08-14
2017-06-300.01-0.09-0.11000 
2022-11-10
2022-09-30-0.59-0.71-0.1220 
2023-08-10
2023-06-30-0.61-0.81-0.232 
2024-05-13
2024-03-31-0.33-0.56-0.2369 

Azul SA Target Price Consensus

Azul target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Azul SA's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   8  Buy
Most Azul analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Azul stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Azul SA, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Azul SA Target Price Projection

Azul SA's current and average target prices are 2.72 and 15.55, respectively. The current price of Azul SA is the price at which Azul SA is currently trading. On the other hand, Azul SA's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Azul SA Market Quote on 13th of November 2024

Low Price2.62Odds
High Price2.75Odds

2.72

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Azul SA Target Price

Low Estimate14.15Odds
High Estimate17.26Odds

15.55

Historical Lowest Forecast  14.15 Target Price  15.55 Highest Forecast  17.26
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Azul SA and the information provided on this page.

Azul SA Analyst Ratings

Azul SA's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Azul SA stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Azul SA's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Azul SA's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Azul SA's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Azul SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Azul SA backward and forwards among themselves. Azul SA's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Azul SA's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Vr Advisory Services Ltd2024-06-30
292.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
273.2 K
Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co Llc2024-06-30
272.6 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
202.3 K
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-06-30
151.6 K
Optiver Holding B.v.2024-06-30
145.5 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
127.9 K
Mirae Asset Global Investments (korea) Co Ltd2024-09-30
125.7 K
Group One Trading, Lp2024-06-30
98 K
Frontier Capital Management Co Inc2024-06-30
8.1 M
Long Focus Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
4.5 M
Note, although Azul SA's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Azul SA's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 312.19 M.

Market Cap

12.29 Billion

Azul SA's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.12)(0.13)
Return On Capital Employed 0.31  0.33 
Return On Assets(0.12)(0.12)
Return On Equity 0.11  0.08 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.35) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.11 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.11.
Determining Azul SA's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Azul SA is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Azul SA's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Azul SA's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Azul SA's management efficiency

Azul SA has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0685 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0685 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Azul SA's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Azul SA manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.33 this year, although the value of Return On Tangible Assets will most likely fall to (0.13). At this time, Azul SA's Non Currrent Assets Other are quite stable compared to the past year. Other Current Assets is expected to rise to about 822.3 M this year, although the value of Non Current Assets Total will most likely fall to about 8.7 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(61.37)(58.30)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(65.58)(62.30)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.65  9.17 
Price Book Value Ratio(0.77)(0.73)
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.65  9.17 
Price Fair Value(0.77)(0.73)
Enterprise Value40.7 B42.7 B
Azul SA benefits from a management team that prioritizes both innovation and efficiency. We analyze these priorities to gauge the stock's future performance.
Beta
1.855

Basic technical analysis of Azul Stock

As of the 13th of November 2024, Azul SA shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 7.3, and Mean Deviation of 4.82. Azul SA technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Azul SA market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Azul SA is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 2.72 per share. Please also double-check Azul SA jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.67) to validate the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Azul SA's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Azul SA issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Azul SA uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Azul bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Azul SA has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Azul SA's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Azul SA's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Azul SA's intraday indicators

Azul SA intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Azul SA stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Azul SA Corporate Filings

6K
28th of October 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
24th of May 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
16th of May 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
1st of May 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
Azul SA time-series forecasting models is one of many Azul SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Azul SA's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Azul Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Azul SA that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Azul media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Azul internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Azul data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Azul SA news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Azul SA relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Azul SA's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Azul SA alpha.

Azul SA Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Azul SA can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Azul SA Corporate Management

Alexandre MalfitaniHead of TudoAzul Loyalty ProgramProfile
Jason WardVice CustomersProfile
Andrea BottcherInvestor MangProfile
Thais HaberliIR MangProfile
Gelzon PizziraniIndependent Member of BoardProfile
Carolyn TrabucoIndependent Member of BoardProfile
Gilberto PeraltaIndependent Member of BoardProfile

Already Invested in Azul SA?

The danger of trading Azul SA is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Azul SA is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Azul SA. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Azul SA is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Azul SA is a strong investment it is important to analyze Azul SA's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Azul SA's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Azul Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Azul SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
For more information on how to buy Azul Stock please use our How to buy in Azul Stock guide.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Azul SA. If investors know Azul will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Azul SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.56)
Earnings Share
(3.66)
Revenue Per Share
161.325
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Return On Assets
0.0685
The market value of Azul SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Azul that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Azul SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Azul SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Azul SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Azul SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Azul SA's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Azul SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Azul SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.