Ryder System has been catching the eye of investors lately, with its stock showing signs of potential strength in the ground transportation and leasing sector. Despite some recent setbacks, including a reported loss of around $0.12 per share, the company’s outlook remains optimistic among analysts. With a consensus rating of buy and a target price hovering near $161, many believe Ryder could continue to deliver solid returns, especially if it maintains its current momentum. The stock’s valuation and market indicators suggest there’s room for growth, making it an intriguing option for those looking to capitalize on the ongoing demand in rental and leasing services. Let's take a closer look at Ryder System today. Despite market fluctuations, the company continues to maintain solid profit margins and positive cash flow, thanks to its resilient business model. As of June 30, 2025, Ryder's stock trades at $160.88. Its sensitivity to media hype, with a historical elasticity of 0.32, suggests it reacts moderately to news, especially compared to competitors' average elasticity of -0.22. The stock is expected to inch upward after the next headline, potentially reaching around $161.21. Media-driven volatility is high, at roughly 161%, and the anticipated price jump from upcoming news is about 0.21%, with an expected daily return near 0.19%. Overall, with a 90-day outlook, the next significant press release is likely in about six days, which could influence the stock’s short-term movement.
The successful prediction of Ryder System
stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published
stock prices of traded companies, such as Ryder System, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at
the intrinsic value of Ryder System based on Ryder System hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used
predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Ryder System's
market risk, different
technical and
fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then
comparing them to Ryder System's related companies.
Use Technical Analysis to project Ryder expected Price
Ryder System technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ryder System technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ryder System trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions.
More Info...Ryder System Gross Profit
Ryder System Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Ryder System previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Ryder System Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Ryder System's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
A Deeper Perspective
The modest gains experienced by current holders of Ryder System created some momentum for retail investors as it was traded today as low as
158.52 and as high as
162.0 per share. The company directors and management have been quite successful in maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in
May. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 2.69. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in
May 2025 as well as with Ryder System unsystematic, company-specific events.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) |
Dividend Yield | 0.0297 | 0.0253 | 0.02 | 0.0201 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.53 | 0.34 |
Total Revenue Breakdown
Ryder System Total Revenue yearly trend continues to be relatively stable with very little volatility. Total Revenue is likely to drop to about 6.9
B. Total Revenue usually refers to the total amount of income generated by the sale of goods or services related to the company's primary operations. At this time, Ryder System's Total Revenue is relatively stable compared to the past year.
| 2018 | 8.41 Billion |
| 2019 | 8.93 Billion |
| 2020 | 8.42 Billion |
| 2021 | 9.66 Billion |
| 2022 | 12.46 Billion |
| 2023 | 11.78 Billion |
| 2024 | 12.64 Billion |
| 2025 | 6.87 Billion |
A penny saved is a penny earned, and Ryder System (NYSE:R) seems to be holding its ground with a current price around $160.47, close to its target of $166.64, suggesting some room for upside. Despite a modest operating margin of just 0.08%, the company boasts a solid net income of $489 million and a revenue of $12.64 billion, supported by a strong cash flow from operations of $2.27 billion. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.32% and 93.3% of shares owned by institutions, Ryder's financial structure appears stable, though its risk-adjusted performance of 0.1279 indicates moderate volatility. Given its potential upside of 3.76% and a five-year return of 3.66%, Ryder could be worth watching for investors seeking steady industrials exposure, especially as its valuation metrics like a P/E of 5.75X and P/S of 0.53X remain attractive.
Ryder technical analysis connotes possible relapse
Ryder System's recent technical signals suggest caution, with its value at risk dropping to -3.17 today. This decline hints at a potential pause or sideways movement in the near term. Traders should monitor the stock’s momentum closely, as this shift could signal the rally is losing steam and a downturn might be on the horizon. Currently, Ryder shows below-average downside deviation, with an Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.13, indicating modest risk-adjusted performance. Understanding market volatility trends can help investors better time their moves. During volatile periods, especially in bear markets, Ryder’s stock can experience sharper swings, increasing stress for shareholders.
This often prompts portfolio rebalancing, as investors seek to manage risk amid falling prices.Ryder System looks like a stock with some interesting potential. Currently valued at around
160.88 million, it has an analyst consensus rating of "Buy," with a few analysts even suggesting a possible upside to around
170.64. While there are some holds and a couple of strong buys, the overall sentiment leans toward cautious optimism. The estimated target price of roughly
161.49 indicates limited room for immediate gains, but with a high valuation hype value of
161.21 and a lowest estimate of
146.96, there's a bit of variability to consider. If you're comfortable with the current valuation and the potential for modest growth, Ryder could be worth a closer look. However, keep in mind the possible downside around
165.25—it's not a guarantee, but it’s worth factoring into your decision..
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Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management.
View Profile This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Ryder System. Please refer to our
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