This module uses fundamental data of UMB Financial to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. UMB Financial M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out UMB Financial Piotroski F Score and UMB Financial Altman Z Score analysis.
At this time, UMB Financial's Debt To Equity is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The UMB Financial's current Interest Debt Per Share is estimated to increase to 89.71, while Net Debt is forecasted to increase to (5.3 B). At this time, UMB Financial's Free Cash Flow Yield is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The UMB Financial's current Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is estimated to increase to 0.01, while PTB Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.14.
At this time, it appears that UMB Financial is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if UMB Financial's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by UMB Financial executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of UMB Financial's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if UMB Financial's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between UMB Financial's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards UMB Financial in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find UMB Financial's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.
M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.
Depreciation And Amortization
44.03 Million
At this time, UMB Financial's Depreciation And Amortization is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.
UMB Financial Earnings Manipulation Drivers
Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as UMB Financial. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, UMB Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to UMB Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.
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About UMB Financial Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze UMB Financial's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of UMB Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of UMB Financial based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
UMB Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether UMB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UMB with respect to the benefits of owning UMB Financial security.