Third Point (UK) Price Prediction
| TPOS Stock | 1,812 102.50 5.35% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.134 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.578 |
Using Third Point hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Third Point Investors from the perspective of Third Point response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Third Point to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Third because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Third Point after-hype prediction price | GBX 1812.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Third |
Third Point After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Third Point at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Third Point or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Third Point, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Third Point Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Third Point's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Third Point's historical news coverage. Third Point's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,811 and 1,814, respectively. We have considered Third Point's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Third Point is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Third Point Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.
Third Point Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Third Point is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Third Point backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Third Point, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.67 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,812 | 1,812 | 0.00 |
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Third Point Hype Timeline
Third Point Investors is at this time traded for 1,812on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Third is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 107.05%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Third Point is about 231.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,813. About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 499.9. Third Point Investors had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Third Point Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Third Point Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Third Point's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Third Point's future price movements. Getting to know how Third Point's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Third Point may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0HC3 | Alaska Air Group | 0.80 | 10 per month | 1.83 | 0.06 | 3.95 | (3.14) | 15.05 | |
| 0HBH | Air Products Chemicals | 1.27 | 7 per month | 0.95 | 0.03 | 2.33 | (1.84) | 6.16 | |
| BYIT | Bytes Technology | 9.80 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.87 | (2.43) | 38.66 | |
| 0NIF | SMA Solar Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.14 | 0.04 | 8.76 | (4.74) | 21.37 | |
| 0RYA | Ryanair Holdings plc | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.38 | (0.37) | 4.09 | |
| ATT | Allianz Technology Trust | (6.04) | 7 per month | 0.94 | 0.09 | 1.98 | (1.76) | 5.96 | |
| 0RES | Scandinavian Tobacco Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | 0.02 | 1.67 | (0.98) | 3.32 | |
| MFAI | Mindflair Plc | (0.07) | 1 per month | 3.45 | (0.01) | 10.00 | (7.00) | 21.99 |
Third Point Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Third price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Third using various technical indicators. When you analyze Third charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Third Point Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Third Point stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Third Point Investors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Third Point based on analysis of Third Point hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Third Point's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Third Point's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Third Point
The number of cover stories for Third Point depends on current market conditions and Third Point's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Third Point is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Third Point's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Third Point Short Properties
Third Point's future price predictability will typically decrease when Third Point's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Third Point Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Third Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Third Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.7 M |
Additional Tools for Third Stock Analysis
When running Third Point's price analysis, check to measure Third Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Third Point is operating at the current time. Most of Third Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Third Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Third Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Third Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.