Scansource Stock Price Prediction
| SCSC Stock | USD 40.53 0.49 1.19% |
Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.48 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.91 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.48 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.77 | Wall Street Target Price 50 |
Using ScanSource hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ScanSource from the perspective of ScanSource response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ScanSource using ScanSource's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ScanSource using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ScanSource's stock price.
ScanSource Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ScanSource's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ScanSource. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ScanSource stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 42.4091 | Short Percent 0.1042 | Short Ratio 8.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 41.008 |
ScanSource Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ScanSource's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ScanSource. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ScanSource can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ScanSource. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ScanSource's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ScanSource.
ScanSource Implied Volatility | 0.8 |
ScanSource's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ScanSource stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ScanSource's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ScanSource stock will not fluctuate a lot when ScanSource's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ScanSource to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ScanSource because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ScanSource after-hype prediction price | USD 40.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ScanSource contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ScanSource will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.05% per day over the life of the 2025-09-19 option contract. With ScanSource trading at USD 40.53, that is roughly USD 0.0203 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ScanSource's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ScanSource options at the current volatility level of 0.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
ScanSource | Build AI portfolio with ScanSource Stock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ScanSource's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ScanSource After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ScanSource at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ScanSource or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ScanSource, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ScanSource Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ScanSource's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ScanSource's historical news coverage. ScanSource's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.52 and 42.10, respectively. We have considered ScanSource's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ScanSource is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ScanSource is based on 3 months time horizon.
ScanSource Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ScanSource is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ScanSource backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ScanSource, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 1.79 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.53 | 40.31 | 0.54 |
|
ScanSource Hype Timeline
ScanSource is at this time traded for 40.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. ScanSource is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on ScanSource is about 31325.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.53. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.27. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. ScanSource has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.09. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 6th of June 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out ScanSource Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ScanSource Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ScanSource's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ScanSource's future price movements. Getting to know how ScanSource's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ScanSource may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNXN | PC Connection | (1.05) | 9 per month | 1.07 | (0) | 1.81 | (1.98) | 9.48 | |
| NSIT | Insight Enterprises | 0.86 | 11 per month | 1.67 | (0.05) | 2.69 | (2.54) | 6.77 | |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions | 0.40 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.46 | (3.75) | 9.16 | |
| SNX | Synnex | 1.01 | 12 per month | 0.54 | 0.24 | 2.73 | (1.63) | 8.90 | |
| SCHL | Scholastic | 0.22 | 11 per month | 1.81 | 0.13 | 3.82 | (3.20) | 14.68 | |
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group | (1.46) | 10 per month | 1.38 | (0.07) | 1.94 | (2.09) | 6.18 | |
| SHEN | Shenandoah Telecommunications Co | (0.02) | 12 per month | 3.36 | 0.04 | 3.36 | (5.07) | 16.23 |
ScanSource Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ScanSource price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ScanSource using various technical indicators. When you analyze ScanSource charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ScanSource Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ScanSource stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ScanSource, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ScanSource based on analysis of ScanSource hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ScanSource's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ScanSource's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 80.3 | 65.11 | 48.81 | PTB Ratio | 0.82 | 1.17 | 1.28 |
Story Coverage note for ScanSource
The number of cover stories for ScanSource depends on current market conditions and ScanSource's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ScanSource is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ScanSource's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
ScanSource Short Properties
ScanSource's future price predictability will typically decrease when ScanSource's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ScanSource often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ScanSource's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ScanSource's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 185.5 M |
Complementary Tools for ScanSource Stock analysis
When running ScanSource's price analysis, check to measure ScanSource's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ScanSource is operating at the current time. Most of ScanSource's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ScanSource's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ScanSource's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ScanSource to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments |