Mcgrath Rentcorp Stock Price Prediction

MGRC Stock  USD 120.00  1.62  1.33%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of McGrath RentCorp's the stock price is about 68. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling McGrath, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of McGrath RentCorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with McGrath RentCorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting McGrath RentCorp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.688
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.56
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.32
EPS Estimate Next Year
6
Wall Street Target Price
127.5
Using McGrath RentCorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of McGrath RentCorp from the perspective of McGrath RentCorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in McGrath RentCorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying McGrath because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

McGrath RentCorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 119.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out McGrath RentCorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade McGrath Stock refer to our How to Trade McGrath Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
107.07109.05132.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
122.03124.01125.99
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
113.30124.50138.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.291.331.38
Details

McGrath RentCorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of McGrath RentCorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in McGrath RentCorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of McGrath RentCorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

McGrath RentCorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting McGrath RentCorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on McGrath RentCorp's historical news coverage. McGrath RentCorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 117.34 and 121.30, respectively. We have considered McGrath RentCorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
120.00
117.34
Downside
119.32
After-hype Price
121.30
Upside
McGrath RentCorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McGrath RentCorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

McGrath RentCorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as McGrath RentCorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading McGrath RentCorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with McGrath RentCorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
1.98
  0.68 
  0.03 
5 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
120.00
119.32
0.57 
66.89  
Notes

McGrath RentCorp Hype Timeline

McGrath RentCorp is now traded for 120.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.68, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. McGrath is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 119.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 66.89%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on McGrath RentCorp is about 1460.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 119.97. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of McGrath RentCorp was now reported as 44.56. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.56. McGrath RentCorp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of October 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 28th of March 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out McGrath RentCorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade McGrath Stock refer to our How to Trade McGrath Stock guide.

McGrath RentCorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to McGrath RentCorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict McGrath RentCorp's future price movements. Getting to know how McGrath RentCorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how McGrath RentCorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALTGAlta Equipment Group(0.07)6 per month 3.20  0.11  6.95 (5.44) 17.02 
GATXGATX Corporation 0.68 11 per month 0.96  0.02  2.45 (1.44) 8.09 
MPUMega Matrix Corp 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 9.65 (8.11) 36.32 
FTAIMFTAI Aviation Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.49 (0.11) 1.32 (0.98) 3.62 
CTOSCustom Truck One(0.05)7 per month 2.78  0.04  8.57 (4.61) 14.74 
HRIHerc Holdings(1.31)8 per month 1.09  0.22  6.47 (2.36) 20.05 
AANThe Aarons(0.01)9 per month 0.24 (0.37) 0.61 (0.40) 1.81 
PRGPROG Holdings(0.94)9 per month 2.29  0.06  3.99 (2.62) 14.87 
HEESHE Equipment Services 0.46 7 per month 1.94  0.13  3.36 (3.22) 12.07 

McGrath RentCorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine McGrath price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McGrath using various technical indicators. When you analyze McGrath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About McGrath RentCorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of McGrath RentCorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as McGrath RentCorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of McGrath RentCorp based on analysis of McGrath RentCorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to McGrath RentCorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to McGrath RentCorp's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02170.01840.01560.02
Price To Sales Ratio3.153.283.521.87

Story Coverage note for McGrath RentCorp

The number of cover stories for McGrath RentCorp depends on current market conditions and McGrath RentCorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that McGrath RentCorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about McGrath RentCorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

McGrath RentCorp Short Properties

McGrath RentCorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when McGrath RentCorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of McGrath RentCorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential McGrath RentCorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McGrath RentCorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments877 K

Complementary Tools for McGrath Stock analysis

When running McGrath RentCorp's price analysis, check to measure McGrath RentCorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McGrath RentCorp is operating at the current time. Most of McGrath RentCorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McGrath RentCorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McGrath RentCorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McGrath RentCorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities