Mcbc Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| MCFT Stock | USD 20.30 0.11 0.54% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.011 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.338 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.704 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.184 | Wall Street Target Price 18.75 |
Using MCBC Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MCBC Holdings from the perspective of MCBC Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MCBC Holdings using MCBC Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MCBC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MCBC Holdings' stock price.
MCBC Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long MCBC Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about MCBC Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge MCBC Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 18.3207 | Short Percent 0.1031 | Short Ratio 11.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 18.6382 |
MCBC Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to MCBC Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MCBC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MCBC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MCBC Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MCBC Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MCBC Holdings.
MCBC Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.84 |
MCBC Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MCBC Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MCBC Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MCBC Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when MCBC Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MCBC Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MCBC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MCBC Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 20.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MCBC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MCBC Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0525% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With MCBC Holdings trading at USD 20.3, that is roughly USD 0.0107 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MCBC Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring MCBC Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out MCBC Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. MCBC Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MCBC Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MCBC Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MCBC Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MCBC Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MCBC Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MCBC Holdings' historical news coverage. MCBC Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.23 and 23.03, respectively. We have considered MCBC Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MCBC Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MCBC Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
MCBC Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MCBC Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MCBC Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MCBC Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 2.90 | 0.17 | 0.10 | 13 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.30 | 20.13 | 0.84 |
|
MCBC Holdings Hype Timeline
MCBC Holdings is now traded for 20.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. MCBC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.84%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on MCBC Holdings is about 1228.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.40. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MCBC Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.35. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.51. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of June 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out MCBC Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MCBC Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MCBC Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MCBC Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how MCBC Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MCBC Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBUU | Malibu Boats | (0.14) | 8 per month | 2.13 | 0.07 | 4.52 | (3.81) | 16.97 | |
| ONEW | Onewater Marine | (0.25) | 7 per month | 3.91 | 0.01 | 8.15 | (6.49) | 21.31 | |
| HSII | Heidrick Struggles International | 0.44 | 9 per month | 0.80 | 0.10 | 2.62 | (1.37) | 7.65 | |
| JOUT | Johnson Outdoors | 0.66 | 9 per month | 1.58 | 0.17 | 4.72 | (2.95) | 10.85 | |
| MPAA | Motorcar Parts of | 0.47 | 7 per month | 3.71 | 0.08 | 6.83 | (4.15) | 26.04 |
MCBC Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MCBC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MCBC using various technical indicators. When you analyze MCBC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MCBC Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MCBC Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MCBC Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MCBC Holdings based on analysis of MCBC Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MCBC Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MCBC Holdings's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.36 | 0.22 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.95 | 1.19 |
Story Coverage note for MCBC Holdings
The number of cover stories for MCBC Holdings depends on current market conditions and MCBC Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MCBC Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MCBC Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
MCBC Holdings Short Properties
MCBC Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when MCBC Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MCBC Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MCBC Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MCBC Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.2 M |
Additional Tools for MCBC Stock Analysis
When running MCBC Holdings' price analysis, check to measure MCBC Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MCBC Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of MCBC Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MCBC Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MCBC Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MCBC Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.