Kingstone Companies Stock Price Prediction
| KINS Stock | USD 15.34 0.86 5.31% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.25 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.59 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.45 | Wall Street Target Price 22 |
Using Kingstone Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kingstone Companies from the perspective of Kingstone Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kingstone Companies using Kingstone Companies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kingstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kingstone Companies' stock price.
Kingstone Companies Short Interest
An investor who is long Kingstone Companies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kingstone Companies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kingstone Companies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.4789 | Short Percent 0.0609 | Short Ratio 2.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 636.8 K | 50 Day MA 15.4248 |
Kingstone Companies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kingstone Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kingstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kingstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kingstone Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kingstone Companies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kingstone Companies.
Kingstone Companies Implied Volatility | 1.09 |
Kingstone Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kingstone Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kingstone Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kingstone Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kingstone Companies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kingstone Companies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kingstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kingstone Companies after-hype prediction price | USD 16.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kingstone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kingstone Companies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0681% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With Kingstone Companies trading at USD 15.34, that is roughly USD 0.0105 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kingstone Companies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kingstone Companies options at the current volatility level of 1.09%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Kingstone Companies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kingstone Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kingstone Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kingstone Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kingstone Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kingstone Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kingstone Companies' historical news coverage. Kingstone Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.67 and 18.89, respectively. We have considered Kingstone Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kingstone Companies is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kingstone Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kingstone Companies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kingstone Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kingstone Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kingstone Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.61 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.34 | 16.28 | 0.49 |
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Kingstone Companies Hype Timeline
Kingstone Companies is now traded for 15.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Kingstone is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.49%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Kingstone Companies is about 4261.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.33. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 155.14 M. Net Income was 18.36 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 35.32 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Kingstone Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kingstone Companies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kingstone Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kingstone Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Kingstone Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kingstone Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNFR | Conifer Holding | (0.01) | 8 per month | 3.31 | 0.05 | 6.76 | (5.88) | 19.76 | |
| HRTG | Heritage Insurance Hldgs | 0.38 | 10 per month | 3.90 | 0.01 | 5.60 | (5.46) | 34.73 | |
| UVE | Universal Insurance Holdings | 0.31 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.91 | (2.53) | 11.67 | |
| ACIC | American Coastal Insurance | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.29 | (3.07) | 12.75 | |
| KFFB | Kentucky First Federal | (0.09) | 7 per month | 3.40 | 0.05 | 4.96 | (4.08) | 22.45 | |
| KEQU | Kewaunee Scientific | 0.35 | 8 per month | 1.92 | 0.15 | 6.27 | (3.44) | 39.54 | |
| LCNB | LCNB Corporation | 0.27 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.75 | (3.36) | 7.63 | |
| GBLI | Global Indemnity PLC | (1.56) | 6 per month | 1.90 | 0.01 | 4.95 | (4.24) | 11.41 |
Kingstone Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kingstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kingstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kingstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kingstone Companies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kingstone Companies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kingstone Companies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kingstone Companies based on analysis of Kingstone Companies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kingstone Companies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kingstone Companies's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.089 | 0.0801 | 0.0841 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.11 | 1.12 | 1.84 |
Story Coverage note for Kingstone Companies
The number of cover stories for Kingstone Companies depends on current market conditions and Kingstone Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kingstone Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kingstone Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kingstone Companies Short Properties
Kingstone Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kingstone Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kingstone Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kingstone Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kingstone Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.7 M |
Additional Tools for Kingstone Stock Analysis
When running Kingstone Companies' price analysis, check to measure Kingstone Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kingstone Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Kingstone Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kingstone Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kingstone Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kingstone Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.