Marinemax Stock Price Prediction
| HZO Stock | USD 29.71 0.75 2.59% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.18 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.99 | Wall Street Target Price 39.625 |
Using MarineMax hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MarineMax from the perspective of MarineMax response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MarineMax using MarineMax's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MarineMax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MarineMax's stock price.
MarineMax Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
MarineMax's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MarineMax stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MarineMax's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MarineMax stock will not fluctuate a lot when MarineMax's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MarineMax to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MarineMax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MarineMax after-hype prediction price | USD 29.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MarineMax |
MarineMax After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MarineMax at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MarineMax or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MarineMax, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MarineMax Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MarineMax's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MarineMax's historical news coverage. MarineMax's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.40 and 33.12, respectively. We have considered MarineMax's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MarineMax is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MarineMax is based on 3 months time horizon.
MarineMax Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MarineMax is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MarineMax backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MarineMax, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 3.38 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.71 | 29.76 | 0.17 |
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MarineMax Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November MarineMax is traded for 29.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. MarineMax is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 29.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on MarineMax is about 8450.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.71. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.43 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 38.74 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 835.33 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out MarineMax Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MarineMax Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MarineMax's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MarineMax's future price movements. Getting to know how MarineMax's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MarineMax may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WINA | Winmark | 1.29 | 9 per month | 1.71 | 0.03 | 3.16 | (3.04) | 7.82 | |
| ARKO | Arko Corp | 0.12 | 10 per month | 2.09 | 0.01 | 4.24 | (3.36) | 11.63 | |
| AAVXF | ABIVAX Socit Anonyme | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCRYY | SCOR PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0.11 | 5.61 | (4.09) | 12.99 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.93 | (4.60) | 16.62 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCRYX | Small Cap Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.01 | 2.39 | (1.69) | 7.88 | |
| MLGO | MicroAlgo | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 21.74 | (12.50) | 61.79 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | (1.82) | 1 per month | 0.52 | (0.09) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 |
MarineMax Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MarineMax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MarineMax using various technical indicators. When you analyze MarineMax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MarineMax Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MarineMax stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MarineMax, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MarineMax based on analysis of MarineMax hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MarineMax's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MarineMax's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.81 | 1.26 | Dividend Yield | 0.0847 | 0.0753 |
Story Coverage note for MarineMax
The number of cover stories for MarineMax depends on current market conditions and MarineMax's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MarineMax is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MarineMax's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MarineMax Short Properties
MarineMax's future price predictability will typically decrease when MarineMax's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MarineMax often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MarineMax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MarineMax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 224.3 M |
Check out MarineMax Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in MarineMax Stock, please use our How to Invest in MarineMax guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MarineMax. If investors know MarineMax will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MarineMax listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Earnings Share 1.65 | Revenue Per Share 109.153 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets 0.0319 |
The market value of MarineMax is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MarineMax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MarineMax's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MarineMax's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MarineMax's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MarineMax's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MarineMax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MarineMax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MarineMax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.