Dingdong Limited Adr Stock Price Prediction
| DDL Stock | USD 2.26 0.04 1.74% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.556 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.66 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.1025 | Wall Street Target Price 2.9802 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.067 |
Using Dingdong Limited hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dingdong Limited ADR from the perspective of Dingdong Limited response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dingdong Limited using Dingdong Limited's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dingdong using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dingdong Limited's stock price.
Dingdong Limited Implied Volatility | 2.48 |
Dingdong Limited's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dingdong Limited ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dingdong Limited's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dingdong Limited stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dingdong Limited's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dingdong Limited to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dingdong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dingdong Limited after-hype prediction price | USD 2.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Dingdong Limited Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dingdong Limited's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dingdong Limited After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dingdong Limited at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dingdong Limited or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dingdong Limited, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dingdong Limited Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dingdong Limited's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dingdong Limited's historical news coverage. Dingdong Limited's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 5.43, respectively. We have considered Dingdong Limited's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dingdong Limited is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dingdong Limited ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dingdong Limited Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dingdong Limited is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dingdong Limited backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dingdong Limited, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 3.16 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.26 | 2.28 | 0.87 |
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Dingdong Limited Hype Timeline
On the 25th of August Dingdong Limited ADR is traded for 2.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Dingdong is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.87%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Dingdong Limited is about 5688.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.25. About 37.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Dingdong Limited was currently reported as 4.36. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Dingdong Limited Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dingdong Limited Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dingdong Limited's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dingdong Limited's future price movements. Getting to know how Dingdong Limited's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dingdong Limited may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NGVC | Natural Grocers by | (1.83) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.63 | (4.04) | 18.80 | |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Incorporated | 0.55 | 7 per month | 1.46 | 0.04 | 3.82 | (2.45) | 8.97 | |
| DNUT | Krispy Kreme | 0.26 | 11 per month | 3.37 | 0.05 | 7.84 | (6.04) | 34.72 | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | 0.14 | 10 per month | 1.86 | 0.08 | 3.34 | (2.98) | 44.94 | |
| ZH | Zhihu Inc ADR | 0.06 | 6 per month | 2.09 | 0.07 | 6.38 | (3.93) | 21.15 | |
| YMM | Full Truck Alliance | 0.23 | 8 per month | 2.97 | 0.01 | 5.29 | (4.69) | 13.44 | |
| TUYA | Tuya Inc ADR | 0.15 | 7 per month | 3.17 | (0.03) | 6.02 | (5.90) | 17.52 | |
| RERE | ATRenew Inc DRC | (0.01) | 8 per month | 3.13 | 0.18 | 8.88 | (6.61) | 22.59 | |
| BZ | Kanzhun Ltd ADR | (0.05) | 10 per month | 1.94 | 0.12 | 4.08 | (3.13) | 9.76 |
Dingdong Limited Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dingdong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dingdong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dingdong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dingdong Limited Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dingdong Limited stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dingdong Limited ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dingdong Limited based on analysis of Dingdong Limited hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dingdong Limited's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dingdong Limited's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 8.87 | 9.74 | 9.71 | 6.14 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 13.19 | 12.44 | 12.53 | 15.43 |
Story Coverage note for Dingdong Limited
The number of cover stories for Dingdong Limited depends on current market conditions and Dingdong Limited's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dingdong Limited is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dingdong Limited's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dingdong Limited Short Properties
Dingdong Limited's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dingdong Limited's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dingdong Limited ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dingdong Limited's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dingdong Limited's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 225.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 B |
Check out Dingdong Limited Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dingdong Limited. If investors know Dingdong will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dingdong Limited listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.556 | Earnings Share 0.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.067 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Dingdong Limited ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dingdong that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dingdong Limited's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dingdong Limited's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dingdong Limited's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dingdong Limited's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dingdong Limited's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dingdong Limited is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dingdong Limited's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.