Circle Internet Group, Stock Price Prediction
| CRCL Stock | USD 153.93 10.89 6.61% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Circle Internet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Circle Internet Group, from the perspective of Circle Internet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Circle Internet using Circle Internet's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Circle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Circle Internet's stock price.
Circle Internet Short Interest
An investor who is long Circle Internet may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Circle Internet and may potentially protect profits, hedge Circle Internet with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 83.23 |
Circle Internet Group, Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Circle Internet's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Circle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Circle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Circle Internet Group,. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Circle Internet's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Circle Internet.
Circle Internet Implied Volatility | 0.97 |
Circle Internet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Circle Internet Group, stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Circle Internet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Circle Internet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Circle Internet's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Circle Internet to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Circle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Circle Internet after-hype prediction price | USD 116.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Circle contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Circle Internet Group, will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0606% per day over the life of the 2025-10-17 option contract. With Circle Internet trading at USD 153.93, that is roughly USD 0.0933 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Circle Internet's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Circle Internet Group, options at the current volatility level of 0.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Circle Internet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Circle Internet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Circle Internet After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Circle Internet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Circle Internet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Circle Internet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Circle Internet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Circle Internet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Circle Internet's historical news coverage. Circle Internet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.27 and 169.32, respectively. We have considered Circle Internet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Circle Internet is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Circle Internet Group, is based on 3 months time horizon.
Circle Internet Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Circle Internet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Circle Internet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Circle Internet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
5.92 | 27.72 | 36.94 | 4.86 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
153.93 | 116.99 | 24.00 |
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Circle Internet Hype Timeline
Circle Internet Group, is currently traded for 153.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -36.94, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -4.86. Circle is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 116.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -24.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 5.92%. The volatility of related hype on Circle Internet is about 3375.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 149.07. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Circle Internet Group, had 18:1 split on the August 16, 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Circle Internet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Circle Internet Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Circle Internet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Circle Internet's future price movements. Getting to know how Circle Internet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Circle Internet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HOOD | Robinhood Markets | (3.29) | 8 per month | 1.58 | 0.34 | 7.41 | (3.06) | 17.69 | |
| ETOR | eToro Group | (0.60) | 8 per month | 3.60 | 0.04 | 9.80 | (5.97) | 40.71 | |
| MARA | Marathon Digital Holdings | (0.87) | 7 per month | 4.04 | 0.03 | 7.20 | (5.88) | 25.00 | |
| CLSK | CleanSpark | (0.27) | 11 per month | 3.76 | 0.07 | 8.09 | (7.51) | 21.63 | |
| IREN | IREN | (0.45) | 8 per month | 2.77 | 0.34 | 8.26 | (5.09) | 16.88 | |
| HUT | Hut 8 Corp | (0.64) | 11 per month | 3.18 | 0.12 | 11.74 | (6.83) | 21.75 | |
| GS | Goldman Sachs Group | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.77 | 0.21 | 2.50 | (1.85) | 6.43 | |
| IBKR | Interactive Brokers Group | (0.48) | 8 per month | 1.00 | 0.26 | 3.72 | (2.40) | 10.97 | |
| WULF | Terawulf | (0.35) | 12 per month | 4.46 | 0.12 | 13.51 | (8.75) | 25.28 |
Circle Internet Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Circle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Circle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Circle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Circle Internet Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Circle Internet stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Circle Internet Group,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Circle Internet based on analysis of Circle Internet hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Circle Internet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Circle Internet's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ROE | 0.79 | 0.27 | 0.26 | Income Quality | 0.0945 | 2.21 | 2.32 |
Story Coverage note for Circle Internet
The number of cover stories for Circle Internet depends on current market conditions and Circle Internet's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Circle Internet is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Circle Internet's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Circle Internet Short Properties
Circle Internet's future price predictability will typically decrease when Circle Internet's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Circle Internet Group, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Circle Internet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Circle Internet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 222.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 765.3 M |
Check out Circle Internet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Banking space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Circle Internet. If investors know Circle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Circle Internet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Circle Internet Group, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Circle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Circle Internet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Circle Internet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Circle Internet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Circle Internet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Circle Internet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Circle Internet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Circle Internet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.