Canandaigua National Stock Price Prediction

CNND Stock  USD 170.00  13.00  7.10%   
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Canandaigua National's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 13

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Canandaigua National's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Canandaigua National and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Canandaigua National's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Canandaigua National, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Canandaigua National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canandaigua National from the perspective of Canandaigua National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Canandaigua National to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Canandaigua because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Canandaigua National after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 170.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Canandaigua National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
142.18144.38187.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
182.92185.12187.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
157.12175.35193.59
Details

Canandaigua National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Canandaigua National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Canandaigua National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Canandaigua National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Canandaigua National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Canandaigua National's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Canandaigua National's historical news coverage. Canandaigua National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 167.80 and 172.20, respectively. We have considered Canandaigua National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
170.00
167.80
Downside
170.00
After-hype Price
172.20
Upside
Canandaigua National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Canandaigua National is based on 3 months time horizon.

Canandaigua National Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Canandaigua National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Canandaigua National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Canandaigua National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
2.20
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
170.00
170.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Canandaigua National Hype Timeline

Canandaigua National is currently traded for 170.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Canandaigua is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Canandaigua National is about 2993.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 169.99. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.6. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Canandaigua National recorded earning per share (EPS) of 23.77. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of January 2023. The firm had 4:1 split on the 13th of October 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Canandaigua National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Canandaigua National Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Canandaigua National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Canandaigua National's future price movements. Getting to know how Canandaigua National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Canandaigua National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.92 7 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.37 (2.19) 7.87 
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp(0.09)4 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.99 (3.31) 8.51 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.48)7 per month 1.21 (0.03) 2.85 (2.19) 8.56 
FCCOFirst Community(0.15)8 per month 0.99 (0.03) 2.36 (1.84) 5.24 
LNKBLINKBANCORP 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.15 (3.18) 8.54 
HONEHarborOne Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.32 (0.08) 1.90 (2.28) 5.60 
INDBIndependent Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.61 (0.06) 3.08 (2.66) 8.43 
RMBIRichmond Mutual Bancorporation 0.05 5 per month 1.88 (0.05) 2.46 (3.10) 9.40 
CATCCambridge Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BHLBBerkshire Hills Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.30 (2.77) 7.40 
KEYKeyCorp(0.26)9 per month 1.14  0.08  2.35 (1.80) 10.45 
FITBFifth Third Bancorp(0.44)11 per month 1.03  0.07  2.52 (1.62) 8.85 
RFRegions Financial(0.58)11 per month 1.07  0.12  2.76 (1.87) 9.35 
NYCBNYCB Old 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ZIONZions Bancorporation 0.00 0 per month 1.56 (0.01) 2.53 (2.65) 7.67 
USBUS Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.26 (0.05) 1.86 (2.30) 5.65 
PNCPNC Financial Services(1.57)9 per month 0.88  0.1  2.25 (1.81) 8.07 
HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated(0.10)8 per month 1.25  0.01  2.51 (2.37) 8.51 
CMAComerica 1.23 11 per month 1.32  0.12  2.48 (3.19) 8.38 
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation 0.00 0 per month 1.99 (0.05) 3.05 (3.39) 8.90 

Canandaigua National Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Canandaigua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canandaigua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canandaigua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Canandaigua National Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Canandaigua National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Canandaigua National, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canandaigua National based on analysis of Canandaigua National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Canandaigua National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Canandaigua National's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Canandaigua National

The number of cover stories for Canandaigua National depends on current market conditions and Canandaigua National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Canandaigua National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Canandaigua National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Complementary Tools for Canandaigua Pink Sheet analysis

When running Canandaigua National's price analysis, check to measure Canandaigua National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Canandaigua National is operating at the current time. Most of Canandaigua National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Canandaigua National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Canandaigua National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Canandaigua National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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