AVIT (China) Price Prediction
| 300264 Stock | 6.59 0.07 1.07% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.077 |
Using AVIT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AVIT from the perspective of AVIT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AVIT to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AVIT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AVIT after-hype prediction price | CNY 6.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AVIT |
AVIT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AVIT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AVIT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AVIT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AVIT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AVIT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AVIT's historical news coverage. AVIT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.87 and 9.31, respectively. We have considered AVIT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AVIT is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AVIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
AVIT Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AVIT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AVIT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AVIT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.72 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.59 | 6.59 | 0.00 |
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AVIT Hype Timeline
AVIT is presently traded for 6.59on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. AVIT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on AVIT is about 1128.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.65. About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company recorded a loss per share of 0.1. AVIT last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2017. The entity had 18:10 split on the 25th of May 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out AVIT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AVIT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AVIT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AVIT's future price movements. Getting to know how AVIT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AVIT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601328 | Bank of Communications | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.95 | 0.01 | 2.05 | (1.88) | 4.66 | |
| 601166 | Industrial Bank Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.07 | 2.25 | (1.64) | 4.70 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | 0.03 | 7 per month | 1.20 | 0.09 | 2.66 | (2.12) | 6.27 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.03 | 2.58 | (1.67) | 6.03 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | 0.11 | 6 per month | 0.71 | 0.05 | 2.30 | (1.75) | 5.17 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.05 | 1.89 | (1.98) | 7.06 | |
| 600000 | Shanghai Pudong Development | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.08 | (2.15) | 10.34 | |
| 000001 | Ping An Bank | 2.26 | 3 per month | 0.59 | (0.03) | 1.43 | (0.93) | 3.16 | |
| 601818 | China Everbright Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.01 | 1.98 | (1.71) | 5.28 | |
| 600919 | Bank of Jiangsu | (0.02) | 4 per month | 1.08 | (0.06) | 1.88 | (1.78) | 7.82 |
AVIT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AVIT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AVIT using various technical indicators. When you analyze AVIT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AVIT Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AVIT stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AVIT, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AVIT based on analysis of AVIT hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AVIT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AVIT's related companies.
Story Coverage note for AVIT
The number of cover stories for AVIT depends on current market conditions and AVIT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AVIT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AVIT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for AVIT Stock analysis
When running AVIT's price analysis, check to measure AVIT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AVIT is operating at the current time. Most of AVIT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AVIT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AVIT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AVIT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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