Rafael Holdings Stock Performance
| RFL Stock | USD 1.20 0.04 3.23% |
The company holds a Beta of -0.13, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Rafael Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Rafael Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Rafael Holdings right now holds a risk of 3.81%. Please check Rafael Holdings standard deviation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and day median price , to decide if Rafael Holdings will be following its historical price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Rafael Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent technical and fundamental indicators, Rafael Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more
Last Split Factor 1014:1000 | Last Split Date 2025-05-09 |
1 | Rafael Holdings GAAP EPS of 0.19, revenue of 0.24M | 12/11/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 9867 shares by Howard Jonas of Rafael Holdings, at 1.4975 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/12/2025 |
3 | How Rafael Holdings Inc. Class B stock compares with market leaders - July 2025 Snapshot Weekly Stock Performance Updates - | 12/18/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 1961 shares by David Polinsky of Rafael Holdings at 1.285 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/19/2025 |
5 | Is Rafael Holdings Inc. stock ready for breakout - Earnings Revision Updates Learn From the Strategies of Institutions - bollywoodhelpline.com | 12/29/2025 |
6 | Can Rafael Holdings Inc stock double in the next year - Chart Signals Consistent Return Investment Signals - baoquankhu1.vn | 01/15/2026 |
7 | Stock Recap What is Rafael Holdings Inc Equity Warrants 5 year growth outlook - Share Buyback Community Consensus Picks - baoquankhu1.vn | 01/27/2026 |
8 | Rafael Trading 2 percent Higher - Heres Why - MarketBeat | 02/09/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 2.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 44 M |
Rafael Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 122.00 in Rafael Holdings on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2.00) from holding Rafael Holdings or give up 1.64% of portfolio value over 90 days. Rafael Holdings is generating 0.0439% of daily returns assuming volatility of 3.8071% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Rafael, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Rafael Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Rafael Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.20 | 90 days | 1.20 | about 69.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rafael Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.76 (This Rafael Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Rafael Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Rafael Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rafael Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rafael Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rafael Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rafael Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rafael Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rafael Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rafael Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Rafael Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rafael Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rafael Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rafael Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Rafael Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 917 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 923 K. | |
| Rafael Holdings has about 52.77 M in cash with (18.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Rafael Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Rafael Trading 2 percent Higher - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
Rafael Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rafael Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rafael Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rafael Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.8 M |
Rafael Holdings Fundamentals Growth
Rafael Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rafael Holdings, and Rafael Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rafael Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.37 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.2 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (42.25) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 17.24 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.98 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.73 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 60.36 X | ||||
| Revenue | 917 K | ||||
| Gross Profit | 923 K | ||||
| EBITDA | (32.25 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (30.64 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 52.77 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.39 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 692 K | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.16 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.80 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.65 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (18.92 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.87) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 62.12 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 114.11 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (232.26 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 64.99 M | ||||
About Rafael Holdings Performance
By examining Rafael Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Rafael Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Rafael Holdings is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 218.74 | 194.44 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.57) | (0.54) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.29) | (0.31) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.31) | (0.32) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.37) | (0.39) |
Things to note about Rafael Holdings performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rafael Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Rafael Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rafael Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Rafael Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 917 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 923 K. | |
| Rafael Holdings has about 52.77 M in cash with (18.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Rafael Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Rafael Trading 2 percent Higher - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
- Analyzing Rafael Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rafael Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Rafael Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Rafael Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rafael Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rafael Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Rafael Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Rafael Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. For more information on how to buy Rafael Stock please use our How to buy in Rafael Stock guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rafael Holdings. Anticipated expansion of Rafael directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Rafael Holdings assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.87) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.875 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Rafael Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Rafael Holdings' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Rafael Holdings' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Rafael Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Rafael Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Rafael Holdings' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.