Northann Corp Stock Performance

NCL Stock   0.17  0.02  10.53%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.99, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Northann Corp will likely underperform. At this point, Northann Corp has a negative expected return of -1.1%. Please make sure to verify Northann Corp's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Northann Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Northann Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:8
Last Split Date
2025-10-08
1
Can Northann Corp. stock retain market dominance - Weekly Profit Analysis Technical Buy Zone Confirmations - newser.com
11/18/2025
2
Why Northann Corp. stock fits value portfolios - July 2025 Patterns AI Powered Market Entry Strategies - Newser
12/04/2025
3
Will Northann Corp. stock enhance shareholder value - Trend Reversal Accurate Buy Signal Alerts - Bollywood Helpline
12/17/2025
4
Northann Corp. signs advisory deals, plans to issue unregistered shares - Investing.com
12/23/2025
5
Northann shareholders approve reverse split and major share issuances - TipRanks
12/31/2025
6
NCL Stock Price, Forecast Analysis NORTHANN CORP - Chartmill
01/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-296.4 K

Northann Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  52.00  in Northann Corp on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (35.00) from holding Northann Corp or give up 67.31% of portfolio value over 90 days. Northann Corp is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 12.5156% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, majority of equities are less volatile than Northann, and most equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Northann Corp is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 16.83 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Northann Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Northann Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.17 90 days 0.17 
about 91.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northann Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.69 (This Northann Corp probability density function shows the probability of Northann Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.99 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Northann Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Northann Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Northann Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northann Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northann Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northann Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1712.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1612.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1612.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.140.220.29
Details

Northann Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northann Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northann Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northann Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northann Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.99
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Northann Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northann Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northann Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northann Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Northann Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Northann Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Northann Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Northann Corp has 6.66 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.61, which is OK given its current industry classification. Northann Corp has a current ratio of 0.16, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Northann to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 15.35 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.38 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (2.06 M).
Northann Corp has about 154.87 M in cash with (1.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 53.0% of Northann Corp outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NCL Stock Price, Forecast Analysis NORTHANN CORP - Chartmill

Northann Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Northann Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Northann Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northann Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments245.2 K

Northann Corp Fundamentals Growth

Northann Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Northann Corp, and Northann Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Northann Stock performance.

About Northann Corp Performance

By examining Northann Corp's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Northann Corp's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Northann Corp is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 73.67  84.06 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.39)(0.37)
Return On Capital Employed(0.36)(0.38)
Return On Assets(0.36)(0.34)
Return On Equity(1.94)(2.03)

Things to note about Northann Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northann Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Northann Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northann Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Northann Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Northann Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Northann Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Northann Corp has 6.66 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.61, which is OK given its current industry classification. Northann Corp has a current ratio of 0.16, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. That said, strategic use of leverage may enable Northann to fund expansion initiatives and generate superior returns.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 15.35 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.38 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (2.06 M).
Northann Corp has about 154.87 M in cash with (1.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 53.0% of Northann Corp outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NCL Stock Price, Forecast Analysis NORTHANN CORP - Chartmill
Evaluating Northann Corp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Northann Corp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Northann Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Northann Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Northann Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Northann Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Northann Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Northann Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Northann Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Northann Corp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Northann Corp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Northann Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Northann Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Northann Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Northann Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Northann Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
For more information on how to buy Northann Stock please use our How to buy in Northann Stock guide.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northann Corp. Anticipated expansion of Northann directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Northann Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(2.18)
Revenue Per Share
1.336
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.386
Return On Assets
(0.63)
Return On Equity
(10.90)
Understanding Northann Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Northann's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Northann Corp's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Northann Corp's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Northann Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Northann Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Northann Corp's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.