Falcon Metals (Australia) Performance
| FAL Stock | 0.85 0.05 5.56% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Falcon Metals holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0405, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Falcon Metals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Falcon Metals is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Falcon Metals' coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to make a quick decision on whether Falcon Metals' price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Falcon Metals are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain essential indicators, Falcon Metals unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
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| Begin Period Cash Flow | 11.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -9521.00 |
Falcon |
Falcon Metals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 67.00 in Falcon Metals on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 18.00 from holding Falcon Metals or generate 26.87% return on investment over 90 days. Falcon Metals is generating 0.496% of daily returns assuming 4.782% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 42% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Falcon Metals, and 91% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Falcon Metals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Falcon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.85 | 90 days | 0.85 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falcon Metals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Falcon Metals probability density function shows the probability of Falcon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Falcon Metals has a beta of 0.0405. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Falcon Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Falcon Metals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Falcon Metals has an alpha of 0.4573, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Falcon Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Falcon Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falcon Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Falcon Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falcon Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falcon Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falcon Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falcon Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Falcon Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falcon Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falcon Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Falcon Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Falcon Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Falcon Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Falcon Metals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Falcon Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Falcon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Falcon Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Falcon Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 177 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.8 M |
Falcon Metals Fundamentals Growth
Falcon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Falcon Metals, and Falcon Metals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Falcon Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.49 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.3 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 182.58 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 212.65 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 24.67 X | ||||
| EBITDA | (5.14 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (4.93 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 87.62 K | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.04 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (3.93 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.03) X | ||||
| Total Asset | 8.6 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (81.68 M) | ||||
About Falcon Metals Performance
Assessing Falcon Metals' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Falcon Metals' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Falcon Metals is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Falcon Metals is entity of Australia. It is traded as Stock on AU exchange.Things to note about Falcon Metals performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Falcon Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Falcon Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Falcon Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Falcon Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Falcon Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Falcon Metals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
- Analyzing Falcon Metals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Falcon Metals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Falcon Metals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Falcon Metals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Falcon Metals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Falcon Metals' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Falcon Metals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Falcon Stock Analysis
When running Falcon Metals' price analysis, check to measure Falcon Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Falcon Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Falcon Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Falcon Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Falcon Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Falcon Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.