Certara Stock Performance
| CERT Stock | USD 10.66 0.18 1.66% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.91, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Certara will likely underperform. At this point, Certara has a negative expected return of -0.0873%. Please make sure to confirm Certara's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Certara performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Certara has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Certara is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.66) | Five Day Return (2.91) | Ten Year Return (72.01) | All Time Return (72.01) |
1 | Acquisition by Smith Patrick F of 7151 shares of Certara subject to Rule 16b-3 | 06/12/2025 |
2 | Certara Inc Trading Down 5.52 percent on Jul 15 | 07/15/2025 |
3 | Certara Appoints Dr. Chris Bouton as Chief Technology Officer to Advance AI in-silico Drug Discovery and Development Platform | 07/31/2025 |
4 | Certara Simcyp Simulator Becomes First and Only Software Platform to Receive EMA Qualification Opinion for PBPK Modeling | 08/04/2025 |
5 | Certara, Inc. A Bull Case Theory | 08/07/2025 |
6 | Certara, Inc. Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript | 08/08/2025 |
7 | Certara Second Quarter 2025 Earnings EPS Beats Expectations | 08/11/2025 |
8 | Can momentum traders help lift Certara Inc. - MA Rumor Fast Entry Momentum Alerts - Newser | 08/26/2025 |
9 | Certara Inc. stock trend forecast - Portfolio Risk Summary Technical Entry and Exit Alerts - Newser | 08/29/2025 |
10 | Certara to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences - MarketScreener | 09/02/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 235 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -112.4 M |
Certara Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,170 in Certara on June 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (104.00) from holding Certara or give up 8.89% of portfolio value over 90 days. Certara is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.7087% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Certara, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Certara Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Certara's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Certara, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Certara's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.0235
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | CERT |
Estimated Market Risk
| 3.71 actual daily | 33 67% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.09 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.02 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Certara is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Certara by adding Certara to a well-diversified portfolio.
Certara Fundamentals Growth
Certara Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Certara, and Certara fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Certara Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0075 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0131 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.88 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 160.62 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.63 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.29 X | ||||
| Revenue | 385.15 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 248.07 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 72.37 M | ||||
| Net Income | (12.05 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 195.44 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.22 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 311.9 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.29 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.67 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 80.47 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.05 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.74 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.58 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (128.28 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 164.76 M | ||||
About Certara Performance
Assessing Certara's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Certara's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Certara is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 9.82 | 14.55 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.01) | (0.01) |
Things to note about Certara performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Certara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Certara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Certara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Certara has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 385.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 248.07 M. | |
| Certara has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Certara to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences - MarketScreener |
- Analyzing Certara's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Certara's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Certara's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Certara's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Certara's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Certara's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Certara's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Certara Stock Analysis
When running Certara's price analysis, check to measure Certara's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Certara is operating at the current time. Most of Certara's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Certara's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Certara's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Certara to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.