Correlation Between Exxon and Chevron Corp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Exxon and Chevron Corp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Exxon and Chevron Corp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Exxon and Chevron Corp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Exxon with a short position of Chevron Corp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Exxon and Chevron Corp.

Diversification Opportunities for Exxon and Chevron Corp

0.85
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Exxon and Chevron is 0.85. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Chevron Corp and Exxon is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Exxon Mobil Corp are associated (or correlated) with Chevron Corp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Chevron Corp has no effect on the direction of Exxon i.e., Exxon and Chevron Corp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Exxon and Chevron Corp

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Exxon is expected to generate 2.24 times less return on investment than Chevron Corp. In addition to that, Exxon is 1.1 times more volatile than Chevron Corp. It trades about 0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Chevron Corp is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  13,442  in Chevron Corp on April 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,186  from holding Chevron Corp or generate 16.26% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy98.39%
ValuesDaily Returns

Exxon Mobil Corp  vs.  Chevron Corp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Exxon Mobil Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Modest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Exxon Mobil Corp are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very conflicting basic indicators, Exxon may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.
Chevron Corp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Chevron Corp are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Chevron Corp showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Exxon and Chevron Corp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Exxon and Chevron Corp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Exxon and Chevron Corp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Exxon position performs unexpectedly, Chevron Corp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Chevron Corp will offset losses from the drop in Chevron Corp's long position.
The idea behind Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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