Correlation Between Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt and Morningstar Municipal Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Intermediate with a short position of Morningstar Municipal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Morningstar is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax and Morningstar Municipal Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Morningstar Municipal and Vanguard Intermediate is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt are associated (or correlated) with Morningstar Municipal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Morningstar Municipal has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Intermediate i.e., Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt is expected to generate 1.11 times more return on investment than Morningstar Municipal. However, Vanguard Intermediate is 1.11 times more volatile than Morningstar Municipal Bond. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Morningstar Municipal Bond is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,261  in Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt on July 11, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  116.00  from holding Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt or generate 9.2% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy99.6%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax  vs.  Morningstar Municipal Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Intermediate 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Intermediate is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Morningstar Municipal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Morningstar Municipal Bond are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Morningstar Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Intermediate and Morningstar Municipal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Intermediate position performs unexpectedly, Morningstar Municipal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Morningstar Municipal will offset losses from the drop in Morningstar Municipal's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Intermediate Term Tax Exempt and Morningstar Municipal Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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