Correlation Between Vanguard Total and Government Securities

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Total and Government Securities at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Total and Government Securities into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Total Bond and Government Securities Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Total and Government Securities and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Total with a short position of Government Securities. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Total and Government Securities.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Total and Government Securities

0.99

Correlation Coefficient

Vanguard Total  Government Securities

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Government is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Total Bond and Government Securities Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Government Securities and Vanguard Total is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Total Bond are associated (or correlated) with Government Securities. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Government Securities has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Total i.e., Vanguard Total and Government Securities go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Total and Government Securities

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Total is expected to generate 1.02 times less return on investment than Government Securities. In addition to that, Vanguard Total is 1.08 times more volatile than Government Securities Fund. It trades about 0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Government Securities Fund is currently generating about 0.05 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  929.00  in Government Securities Fund on May 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  7.00  from holding Government Securities Fund or generate 0.75% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Strong
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Vanguard Total Bond  vs.  Government Securities Fund

Vanguard Total Bond

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Total Bond are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Government Securities

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Government Securities Fund are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Government Securities is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Pair Trading with Vanguard Total and Government Securities

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Total and Government Securities positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Total position performs unexpectedly, Government Securities can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Government Securities will offset losses from the drop in Government Securities' long position.

The idea behind Vanguard Total Bond and Government Securities Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.