Correlation Between Vanguard Total and Mid Cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Total and Mid Cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Total and Mid Cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Total Stock and Mid Cap Growth, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Total and Mid Cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Total with a short position of Mid Cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Total and Mid Cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Total and Mid Cap

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Mid is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Total Stock and Mid Cap Growth in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Mid Cap Growth and Vanguard Total is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Total Stock are associated (or correlated) with Mid Cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Mid Cap Growth has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Total i.e., Vanguard Total and Mid Cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Total and Mid Cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Total is expected to generate 1.87 times less return on investment than Mid Cap. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Vanguard Total Stock is 1.62 times less risky than Mid Cap. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Mid Cap Growth is currently generating about 0.25 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,123  in Mid Cap Growth on May 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  233.00  from holding Mid Cap Growth or generate 20.75% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Total Stock  vs.  Mid Cap Growth

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Total Stock 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Total Stock are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Total may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in September 2025.
Mid Cap Growth 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mid Cap Growth are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak essential indicators, Mid Cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Vanguard Total and Mid Cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Total and Mid Cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Total and Mid Cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Total position performs unexpectedly, Mid Cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mid Cap will offset losses from the drop in Mid Cap's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Total Stock and Mid Cap Growth pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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