Correlation Between Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade and Small Cap Value Series, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Short-term with a short position of Small-cap Value. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Small-cap is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Short Term Investment and Small Cap Value Series in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Small Cap Value and Vanguard Short-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade are associated (or correlated) with Small-cap Value. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Small Cap Value has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Short-term i.e., Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade is expected to generate 0.13 times more return on investment than Small-cap Value. However, Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade is 7.47 times less risky than Small-cap Value. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Small Cap Value Series is currently generating about -0.17 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,044  in Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade on May 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5.00  from holding Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade or generate 0.48% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Short Term Investment  vs.  Small Cap Value Series

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Short Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Vanguard Short-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Small Cap Value 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Small Cap Value Series are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, Small-cap Value is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Short-term and Small-cap Value positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Short-term position performs unexpectedly, Small-cap Value can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Small-cap Value will offset losses from the drop in Small-cap Value's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Short Term Investment Grade and Small Cap Value Series pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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