Correlation Between Vanguard Small and ProShares Short

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Small and ProShares Short at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Small and ProShares Short into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Small Cap Index and ProShares Short SmallCap600, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Small and ProShares Short and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Small with a short position of ProShares Short. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Small and ProShares Short.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Small and ProShares Short

-0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and ProShares is -0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Small Cap Index and ProShares Short SmallCap600 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares Short Smal and Vanguard Small is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Small Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with ProShares Short. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares Short Smal has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Small i.e., Vanguard Small and ProShares Short go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Small and ProShares Short

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Vanguard Small Cap Index is expected to generate 0.84 times more return on investment than ProShares Short. However, Vanguard Small Cap Index is 1.19 times less risky than ProShares Short. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares Short SmallCap600 is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  23,252  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on May 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,404  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 6.04% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Small Cap Index  vs.  ProShares Short SmallCap600

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, Vanguard Small is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
ProShares Short Smal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ProShares Short SmallCap600 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong fundamental drivers, ProShares Short is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Small and ProShares Short Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Small and ProShares Short

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Small and ProShares Short positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Small position performs unexpectedly, ProShares Short can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Short will offset losses from the drop in ProShares Short's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Small Cap Index and ProShares Short SmallCap600 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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