Correlation Between Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Sp 500 Index and Ultra Short Term Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Sp 500 with a short position of Ultra Short-term. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term.

Diversification Opportunities for Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term

-0.3
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between USPRX and Ultra is -0.3. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Sp 500 Index and Ultra Short Term Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ultra Short Term and Sp 500 is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Sp 500 Index are associated (or correlated) with Ultra Short-term. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ultra Short Term has no effect on the direction of Sp 500 i.e., Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term

Assuming the 90 days horizon Sp 500 Index is expected to generate 21.19 times more return on investment than Ultra Short-term. However, Sp 500 is 21.19 times more volatile than Ultra Short Term Bond. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ultra Short Term Bond is currently generating about 0.13 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7,052  in Sp 500 Index on February 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  395.00  from holding Sp 500 Index or generate 5.6% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Sp 500 Index  vs.  Ultra Short Term Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Sp 500 Index 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Sp 500 Index has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Sp 500 is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Ultra Short Term 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ultra Short Term Bond are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Ultra Short-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term

The main advantage of trading using opposite Sp 500 and Ultra Short-term positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Sp 500 position performs unexpectedly, Ultra Short-term can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ultra Short-term will offset losses from the drop in Ultra Short-term's long position.
The idea behind Sp 500 Index and Ultra Short Term Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

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