Correlation Between ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares UltraPro SP500 and SPDR Barclays Intermediate, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares UltraPro with a short position of SPDR Barclays. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays

0.88
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and SPDR is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraPro SP500 and SPDR Barclays Intermediate in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR Barclays Interm and ProShares UltraPro is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares UltraPro SP500 are associated (or correlated) with SPDR Barclays. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR Barclays Interm has no effect on the direction of ProShares UltraPro i.e., ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares UltraPro SP500 is expected to generate 11.44 times more return on investment than SPDR Barclays. However, ProShares UltraPro is 11.44 times more volatile than SPDR Barclays Intermediate. It trades about 0.29 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR Barclays Intermediate is currently generating about 0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,729  in ProShares UltraPro SP500 on April 30, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,151  from holding ProShares UltraPro SP500 or generate 46.83% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares UltraPro SP500  vs.  SPDR Barclays Intermediate

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares UltraPro SP500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraPro SP500 are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal basic indicators, ProShares UltraPro displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
SPDR Barclays Interm 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR Barclays Intermediate are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong forward indicators, SPDR Barclays is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares UltraPro and SPDR Barclays positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares UltraPro position performs unexpectedly, SPDR Barclays can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR Barclays will offset losses from the drop in SPDR Barclays' long position.
The idea behind ProShares UltraPro SP500 and SPDR Barclays Intermediate pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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