Correlation Between ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares UltraPro SP500 and SPDR MSCI Emerging, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares UltraPro with a short position of SPDR MSCI. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI

0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and SPDR is 0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraPro SP500 and SPDR MSCI Emerging in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on SPDR MSCI Emerging and ProShares UltraPro is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares UltraPro SP500 are associated (or correlated) with SPDR MSCI. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of SPDR MSCI Emerging has no effect on the direction of ProShares UltraPro i.e., ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares UltraPro SP500 is expected to generate 3.43 times more return on investment than SPDR MSCI. However, ProShares UltraPro is 3.43 times more volatile than SPDR MSCI Emerging. It trades about 0.29 of its potential returns per unit of risk. SPDR MSCI Emerging is currently generating about 0.26 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,722  in ProShares UltraPro SP500 on April 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,206  from holding ProShares UltraPro SP500 or generate 47.69% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.41%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares UltraPro SP500  vs.  SPDR MSCI Emerging

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares UltraPro SP500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraPro SP500 are ranked lower than 23 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal basic indicators, ProShares UltraPro displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
SPDR MSCI Emerging 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in SPDR MSCI Emerging are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak primary indicators, SPDR MSCI may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in August 2025.

ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares UltraPro and SPDR MSCI positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares UltraPro position performs unexpectedly, SPDR MSCI can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR MSCI will offset losses from the drop in SPDR MSCI's long position.
The idea behind ProShares UltraPro SP500 and SPDR MSCI Emerging pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

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