Correlation Between Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and High Yield Municipal Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate Term with a short position of High-yield Municipal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate and High-yield is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon and High Yield Municipal Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on High Yield Municipal and Intermediate Term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are associated (or correlated) with High-yield Municipal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of High Yield Municipal has no effect on the direction of Intermediate Term i.e., Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate Term is expected to generate 1.92 times less return on investment than High-yield Municipal. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond is 1.39 times less risky than High-yield Municipal. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. High Yield Municipal Fund is currently generating about 0.2 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  856.00  in High Yield Municipal Fund on July 11, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  47.00  from holding High Yield Municipal Fund or generate 5.49% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy99.2%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Term Tax Free Bon  vs.  High Yield Municipal Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Term Tax 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Intermediate Term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
High Yield Municipal 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in High Yield Municipal Fund are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, High-yield Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate Term and High-yield Municipal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate Term position performs unexpectedly, High-yield Municipal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in High-yield Municipal will offset losses from the drop in High-yield Municipal's long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Term Tax Free Bond and High Yield Municipal Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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