Correlation Between Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Tractor Supply with a short position of Ulta Beauty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty.

Diversification Opportunities for Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty

0.72
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Tractor and Ulta is 0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Ulta Beauty and Tractor Supply is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Tractor Supply are associated (or correlated) with Ulta Beauty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Ulta Beauty has no effect on the direction of Tractor Supply i.e., Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tractor Supply is expected to generate 2.11 times less return on investment than Ulta Beauty. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Tractor Supply is 1.21 times less risky than Ulta Beauty. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Ulta Beauty is currently generating about 0.23 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  38,714  in Ulta Beauty on May 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  12,059  from holding Ulta Beauty or generate 31.15% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Tractor Supply  vs.  Ulta Beauty

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Tractor Supply 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

OK

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Tractor Supply are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unfluctuating fundamental indicators, Tractor Supply displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Ulta Beauty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ulta Beauty are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unfluctuating basic indicators, Ulta Beauty sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Tractor Supply position performs unexpectedly, Ulta Beauty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ulta Beauty will offset losses from the drop in Ulta Beauty's long position.
The idea behind Tractor Supply and Ulta Beauty pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

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